On the Influence of Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves on African Easterly waves

Abstract:

While Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves (CCKWs) are generally weaker in Boreal Summer than in Boreal Spring in the tropical West African region, previous reseach has shown that they can have a significant impact on African Easterly Waves (AEWs) in the West African and tropical Atlantic regions. This talk will highlight the significance of CCKWs in determining variability in AEW behaviour including how they impact: (i) Initiation of AEWs, (ii) Convection within existing AEWs and (iii) Development of favorable AEW structures for tropical cyclogenesis in the tropical Atlantic. Reanalysis and satellite datasets will be combined to shed light on these interactions from both a climatological and a case-study perspective. A major conclusion from this work is the strong recognition that forecasters in the region should be closely monitoring the propagation of CCKWs into the region and that medium-range weather prediction efforts in the tropics should be paying close attention to the fidelity of models to represent CCKWs.