GC43G:
Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate, Earth System, Integrated Assessment, and Impact Models and Observations II

Session ID#: 2945

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
3003 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Linda Mearns, NCAR, RAL, Boulder, CO, United States, Elisabeth A Lloyd, Indiana University Bloomington, History and Philosophy of Science and Medicine, Bloomington, IN, United States, Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and Manvendra Krishna Dubey, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Science Division, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Primary Convener:  Maoyi Huang, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of Science and Technology Integration, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Co-conveners:  Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech University, Climate Center, Lubbock, TX, United States and Elisabeth A Lloyd, Indiana University Bloomington, History and Philosophy of Science and Medicine, Bloomington, IN, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Donald D Lucas, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES]
6620 Science policy [PUBLIC ISSUES]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

GC43G-01
Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections due to Internal Variability (Invited) (4353)
Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Adam Phillips, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, United States
GC43G-02
Uncertainty in Socioeconomic Pathways and Their Implications for Climate Forcing and Analysis—the Shared Socioeconomic Scenarios (SSPs) (Invited) (5433)
James Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
GC43G-03
The Role That Clouds Play in Uncertainty in the Climate Sensitivity (Invited) (4098)
Andrew E Dessler, Texas A&M Univ, College Station, TX, United States
GC43G-04
A Philosopher’s Look at Model-Tuning (10928)
Mathias Frisch, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
GC43G-05
Biases in the instrumental temperature record: the policy and communications context (Invited) (3409)
Kevin Cowtan, University of York, York, United Kingdom and Robert G Way, University of Ottawa, Geography, Ottawa, ON, Canada
GC43G-06
Climate feedback uncertainty quantification and learning using reduced models (Invited) (29781)
Nathan M Urban, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Applied Mathematics Department, Computing and Data Sciences Directorate, Upton, United States and Balu T Nadiga, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
See more of: Global Environmental Change