GC21F:
Agriculture in an Uncertain Future: Understanding and Responding to the Impacts of Extreme Events I

Session ID#: 3187

Tuesday, 16 December 2014: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
3003 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Pedram Rowhani, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1, United Kingdom, Navin Ramankutty, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada and Toshichika Iizumi, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Tsukuba, Japan
Primary Convener:  Pedram Rowhani, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1, United Kingdom
Co-conveners:  Navin Ramankutty, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada and Toshichika Iizumi, NIAES-NARO, Tsukuba, Japan
OSPA Liaison:  Pedram Rowhani, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1, United Kingdom
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

0402 Agricultural systems [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1605 Abrupt/rapid climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4327 Resilience [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Virtual Option?: No

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Global Famine after a Regional Nuclear War (Invited) (6120)
Alan Robock, Rutgers University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, Lili Xia, Rutgers University, Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, Michael J Mills, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Atmospheric Chemistry, Observations, and Modeling Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Andrea Stenke, ETH Zürich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, Zurich, Switzerland and Ira Helfand, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War, Somerville, MA, United States
The past impact of climate change on the yield of major crops (Invited) (4083)
Gen Sakurai1, Toshichika Iizumi2, Motoki Nishimori3, Masashi Okada1 and Masayuki Yokozawa4, (1)NIAES, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)NIAES-NARO, Tsukuba, Japan, (3)NIAES National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Tsukuba, Japan, (4)Shizuoka University, Shizuoka, Japan
Can Multiple Cropping Help to Avoid the Impacts of Heat Extremes? The Case of Winter Wheat/Soybean Double Cropping in the United States (Invited) (4104)
Christopher Seifert, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and David B Lobell, Stanford University, Department of Earth System Science & Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford, United States
Extreme weather events and global crop production (Invited) (4665)
Deepak K Ray, University of Minnesota, Institute on the Environment, Saint Paul, United States, James S Gerber, University of Minnesota, St Paul, United States, Paul C West, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States and Global Landscapes Initiative
Agricultural and Social Resiliency of Small-Scale Agriculture to Economic and Climatic Shocks: A Comparison of Subsistence versus Market-Based Agricultural Approaches in Rural Guatemala (19019)
Julien Jean Malard1, Hugo Melgar-Quiñonez1, Pedro Pineda2, Juventino Gálvez2 and Jan F Adamowski3, (1)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Universidad Rafael Landívar, Institute of Agriculture, Nat. Resources and the Environment, Guatemala City, Guatemala, (3)McGill University, Department of Bioresource Engineering, Montreal, QC, Canada
Quantifying the risks of winter damage on overwintering crops under future climates: Will low-temperature damage be more likely in warmer climates? (12068)
Giulia Vico and Martin Weih, SLU Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden
Non-stationarity of “Nature’s Limit” - Implications for Agriculture in Semi-arid Environments (3321)
Carly Tozer, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia, Anthony Kiem, Centre for Water, Climate and Land (CWCL), University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia and Danielle Verdon-Kidd, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia
Beyond extreme temperatures: soil water supply and yield variability (29295)
Daniel Urban, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and David B Lobell, Stanford University, Department of Earth System Science & Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford, United States