U44A:
The Attribution of Extreme Weather Events and Their Impacts to External Drivers of Climate Change

Session ID#: 3319

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
3018 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, Physics, Oxford, United Kingdom and Heidi M Cullen, Schmidt Sciences, New York, United States
Primary Convener:  Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
Co-conveners:  Heidi M Cullen, Schmidt Sciences, New York, United States, Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom and Judith Perlwitz, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Heidi M Cullen, Schmidt Sciences, New York, United States
Index Terms:

1610 Atmosphere [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Virtual Option?: Yes

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

U44A-01
Dramatic increases in likelihoods of extreme seasonal temperatures since 2003. (28852)
Peter Stott, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, Nikolaos Christidis, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom and Andrew Ciavarella, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom
U44A-02
Assessing Extreme Events for Anthropogenic Influence: Examples of Recent Cases for Australian Temperatures, U.S. Precipitation, and Hurricane Sandy (Invited) (4951)
Thomas R Knutson, NOAA/ Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, Fanrong Jenny Zeng, NOAA Princeton, Princeton, United States, Andrew Thorne Wittenberg, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, United States, Phil Duffy, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, Dr. Jeffrey Richard Arnold, U.S. Army Engineer Institute for Water Resources, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, Christopher Massey, U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal & Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, United States, Michael F Wehner, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Computational Research Division, Berkeley, CA, United States, Morris Bender, NOAA Princeton, Princeton, NJ, United States and Matt Morin, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
U44A-03
Relevance of land forcings and feedbacks in the attribution of climate extremes (Invited) (4381)
Sonia I Seneviratne1, Edouard Davin2, Peter Greve2, Lukas Gudmundsson1, Mathias Hauser3, Martin Hirschi2, Brigitte Mueller2, Boris Orlowsky2 and Rene Orth2, (1)Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, (3)Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland
U44A-04
Attribution of low precipitation in California during the winter of 2013-2014 (29109)
Roberto J Mera, Union of Concerned Scientists Washington DC, Washington, DC, United States, Brenda Ekwurzel, Union of Concerned Scientists, Washington, DC, United States and David E Rupp, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
U44A-05
Ethical Implications of Probabilistic Event Attribution for Policy Discussions about Loss and Damage (Invited) (6392)
Friederike Elly Luise Otto, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom and Allen Thompson, Oregon State University, School of History, Philosophy and Religion, Corvallis, OR, United States
U44A-06
Framing Extreme Event Attribution from the Bottom up – an Enquiry into the Social Representations of key stakeholders, of the Press and of Climate Scientists. (11612)
Jean-Paul Vanderlinden1, Mareike Fellmer2, Nathalia Capellini1, Insa Meinke3, Yorghos Remvikos1, Dennis Bray2, Chantal Pacteau4 and Hans von Storch3, (1)Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, CEARC-OVSQ, Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, France, (2)Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Zentrum für Material- und Küstenforschung, Institut für Küstenforschung, Geesthacht, Germany, (3)Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Institute of Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany, (4)Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Groupement d’Intérêt Scientifique Climat, Environnement Société, Paris, France
U44A-07
Can we attribute changes in risk to anthropogenic emissions? (28791)
Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, Christian Huggel, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland and Gerrit Hansen, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
U44A-08
Educating Local Audiences about Climate Change (Invited) (5021)
Danny Satterfield, WBOC TV, Salisbury, MD, United States, Heidi M Cullen, Schmidt Sciences, New York, United States and Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
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