NG41B:
Stochastic Modeling and Complex System Approaches to Nonlinear Geophysical Systems I

Session ID#: 3346

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
300 (Moscone_South)
Chairs:  Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, Reik V Donner, Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany, Paul Williams, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom and Cecile Penland, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States
Primary Convener:  Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
Co-conveners:  Cecile Penland, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratories, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, Paul Williams, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom and Reik V Donner, Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany
OSPA Liaison:  Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

3265 Stochastic processes [MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS]
3270 Time series analysis [MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS]
3325 Monte Carlo technique [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4430 Complex systems [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

NG41B-01
Arctic Sea Ice : Trends, Stability and Variability (Invited) (8170)
Woosok Moon, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom and John S. Wettlaufer, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States
NG41B-02
Impact of a Stochastic Parameterization of Cumulus Convection Using Cellular Automata in a Meso-Scale Ensemble Prediction System. (Invited) (4236)
Lisa Bengtsson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
NG41B-03
The Effects of Explicit Atmospheric Convection at High CO2 (Invited) (4304)
Eli Tziperman1, Nathan Arnold2,3, Mark Branson4, Melissa A Burt4, Dorian S Abbot5, Zhiming Kuang6 and Prof. David A Randall2, (1)Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States, (3)Harvard Univ, Cambridge, MA, United States, (4)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (5)University of Chicago, Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, IL, United States, (6)Harvard Univ, Cambridge, United States
NG41B-04
Threshold Models for Rainfall and Convection: Deterministic Versus Stochastic Trigger (16316)
Scott Hottovy and Samuel N Stechmann, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
NG41B-05
A Data-based Low-dimensional Stochastic Model of the NGRIP delta-O18 with Built-in Delays (31168)
Dmitri A Kondrashov1, Honghu Liu1, Mickael Chekroun2, Anders Svensson3, Denis-Didier Rousseau4 and Michael Ghil1, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Atmos. Sci, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Atmos. and Ocean. Sci., Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)Centre for Ice and Climate, Copenhagen, Denmark, (4)CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France
NG41B-06
An Efficient Perturbed Parameter Scheme in the Lorenz System for Quantifying Model Uncertainty (8278)
Gino Chen, University of Miami - RSMAS, Miami, FL, United States, Benjamin P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, FL, United States and Mohamed Iskandarani, University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric and Earth Science, Miami, United States
NG41B-07
Analyzing Global Climate System Using Graph Based Anomaly Detection (27914)
Kamalika Das1, Saurabh Agrawal2, Gowtham Atluri2, Stefan Liess3, Michael Steinbach2 and Vipin Kumar4, (1)University of California Santa Cruz, UARC, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (2)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States, (3)University of Minnesota Climate Adaptation Partnership, Saint Paul, United States, (4)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Department of Computer Science & Engineering, Minneapolis, United States
NG41B-08
A novel method for the detection of persistent and recurrent climatic regimes as almost invariants of the transfer operator (12524)
Alexis Tantet, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht, 3584, Netherlands and Hendrik A Dijkstra, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands
See more of: Nonlinear Geophysics