GC42A:
ENSO: Precursors and Expected Change II

Session ID#: 3435

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 10:20 AM-12:20 PM
3010 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Sang-Wook Yeh, Hanyang University, ERICA, Department of Marine Science and Convergence Engineering, Ansan, South Korea and JinHo Yoon, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, United States
Primary Convener:  JinHo Yoon, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, United States
Co-conveners:  Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States and Sang-Wook Yeh, Hanyang University, Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
OSPA Liaison:  Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang, Utah State University, Logan, UT, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4215 Climate and interannual variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4522 ENSO [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
Virtual Option?: Yes

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

GC42A-01
Untangling ENSO Precursors (8896)
Kathleen Pegion, University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology, Norman, United States and Michael A Alexander, NOAA Boulder, ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO, United States
GC42A-02
Does Recent Change in Tropical Pacific Forecast Skill Represent Variation in ENSO Predictability or Precursors? (Invited) (4950)
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO, United States
GC42A-03
Study on the precursor of frequent occurrence of central Pacific El Nino (20365)
Sang-Wook Yeh, Hanyang University, Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), Xin Wang, SCSIO South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Acaademy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China, Chunzai Wang, State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, SCSIO, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China and Boris Dewitte, LEGOS, Toulouse, France
GC42A-04
Understanding ENSO precursors from a Linear Inverse Modeling Perspective (14306)
Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, United States and Prashant D Sardeshmukh, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
GC42A-05
Optimal Initial Conditions and Stochastic Forcing for Central and East Pacific ENSO Events (Invited) (12944)
Daniel Vimont, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, Matthew Newman, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO, United States and Michael A Alexander, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States
GC42A-06
Ocean-atmosphere mechanisms explaining the heat buildup leading to El Niño events (19090)
Joan Ballester Claramunt, Caltech, Pasadena, CA, United States, Simona Bordoni, University of Trento, Trento, Italy, Desislava Petrova, Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain and Xavier Rodo, Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, BARCELONA, Spain
GC42A-07
Towards Understanding El Niño Complexity and Change (Invited) (5651)
Fei-Fei Jin, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Honolulu, HI, United States
GC42A-08
El Nino Since the Early-1990s Climate Shift in the Pacific (Invited) (8068)
Jin-Yi Yu1, Houk Paek2 and Chengcheng Qian2,3, (1)University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, (3)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
GC42A-09
Intensified ENSO-Driven Precipitation Teleconnections in the Future (10763)
Celine Bonfils1, Benjamin D Santer2, Thomas J Phillips1, Kate Marvel3, L. Ruby Leung4 and Charles Doutriaux1, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)LLNL, Livermore, United States, (3)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
GC42A-10
ENSO and its Precursor simulated by UNICON with CESM1 (31785)
Sungsu Park, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Jin-Ho Yoon, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
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