A33P:
Multimodel and Initial-Condition Ensemble Simulations for Climate Research I

Session ID#: 3567

Wednesday, 17 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
3008 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States, Jennifer E Kay, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), Boulder, United States and Benjamin P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, United States
Primary Convener:  Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jin Huang, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • C - Cryosphere
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Detection and Attribution of Temperature Trends in the Presence of Natural Variability (Invited) (5911)
John Michael Wallace, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
Robust Forced Signals and Irreducible Uncertainties in Projections of Extremes (Invited) (5210)
Erich M Fischer, ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland and Reto Knutti, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Estimating the Role of Natural Variability in Climate Change Using Observations (8664)
David W J Thompson, Colorado State University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Elizabeth A Barnes, Boston University, Faculty of Computing and Data Sciences; Earth & Environment, Boston, United States, Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States and William E Foust, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States
Time of emergence of multiple ocean ecosystem stressors in a large ensemble with an Earth System Model (30958)
Keith B Rodgers, IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, Thomas L Froelicher, Universtity of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland and Jonathan Lin, Princeton University, Princeton, United States
Role of forced and internal variability in Pacific sea-level trends (27921)
Pedro N DiNezio, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, Christina Karamperidou, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Honolulu, United States and Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
Characterizing the Increase in U.S. Precipitation (4258)
Martin P Hoerling1, Xiao-Wei Quan2, Judith Perlwitz2,3 and Jon K. Eischeid2, (1)NOAA Boulder, ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States