S23B:
Foreshocks and Their Predictive Value: Insights from Recent Observations, Lab Experiments, Numerical Simulations, and Prospective Forecasting Experiments II Posters

Session ID#: 3688

Tuesday, 16 December 2014: 1:40 PM-6:00 PM
Poster Hall (Moscone_South)
Chairs:  Maximilian J Werner, University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom and Jiancang Zhuang, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
Primary Convener:  Maximilian J Werner, University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom; University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences and Cabot Institute, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
Co-Convener:  Jiancang Zhuang, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
OSPA Liaison:  Maximilian J Werner, University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • G - Geodesy
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • T - Tectonophysics
Index Terms:

1242 Seismic cycle related deformations [GEODESY AND GRAVITY]
7215 Earthquake source observations [SEISMOLOGY]
7223 Earthquake interaction, forecasting, and prediction [SEISMOLOGY]
8118 Dynamics and mechanics of faulting [TECTONOPHYSICS]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

 
S23B-4490
A Global Overview of Short-Term Foreshocks and Their Predictive Value (12668)
Gerassimos A Papadopoulos1, Markos Avlonitis2, Boris Di Fiore1 and George Minadakis1, (1)National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece, (2)Ionian University, Department of Informatics, Corfu, Greece
 
S23B-4491
Computational Software for Fitting Seismic Data to Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence Models (14851)
Annie Chu, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States; Woodbury University, Mathematics, Burbank California, United States
 
S23B-4492
Systematic detection of seismic activity before recent large earthquakes in China (14968)
Zhigang Peng1, Baoshan Wang2, Xiang Ruan3, Xiaofeng Meng1, Tu Hongwei4, Feng Long5 and Jinrong Su3, (1)Georgia Tech, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States, (2)IGP Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China, (3)Sichuan Seismological Bureau, Chengdu, China, (4)Earthquake Administration of Qinghai Province, Xining, China, (5)Sichuan Earthquake Agency, Chengdu, China
 
S23B-4493
Nucleation process of an M2 earthquake in a deep gold mine in South Africa inferred from on-fault foreshock activity (15083)
Yasuo Yabe1,2, Masao Nakatani2,3, Makoto Naoi2,4, Joachim Philipp5, Christoph Janssen6, Hironori Kawakata2,7, Georg Dresen6 and Hiroshi Ogasawara2, (1)Tohoku University, Graduate School of Science, Sendai, Japan, (2)SATREPS, Tokyo, Japan, (3)University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Japan, (4)Kyoto University, Graduate School of Engineering, Kyoto, Japan, (5)GMuG Gesellschaft für Materialprüfung und Geophysik mbH, Bad Nauheim, Germany, (6)Helmholtz Centre Potsdam GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany, (7)Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan
 
S23B-4494
Significant foreshock activities of M>7.5 earthquakes in the Kuril subduction zone (15452)
Tomoya Harada, Interfaculty Initiative for Information Studies & Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, Sayoko Yokoi, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan and Kenji Satake, Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
 
S23B-4495
Analysis of foreshock sequences in California - implications of foreshock triggering process (17349)
Xiaowei Chen, Texas A&M University, Geology and Geophysics, College Station, United States and Peter M Shearer, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
S23B-4496
STRESS CONCENTRATION PHENOMENON BEFORE THE 2011 M9.0 TOHOKU-OKI EARTHQUAKE: ITS IMPLICATION FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION (21420)
Yong-Qing Zhang and Fu-Ren Xie, Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China
 
S23B-4497
Friction Laws Based on Monotonic and Cyclic Rotary Shear Tests (24033)
Chun Jung Lai1, Jia-Jyun Dong2, Tetsuhiro Togo3, Che-Ming Yang1, Chyi-Tyi Lee4 and Toshihiko Shimamoto5, (1)NCU National Central University of Taiwan, Jhongli, Taiwan, (2)NCU National Central University of Taiwan, Graduate Institute of Apply Geology, Taoyuan, Taiwan, (3)Seismotectonics Research Group, Institute of Earthquake and Volcano Geology, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Japan, (4)National Central University, Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management (E-DREaM) Center, Zhongli, Taiwan, (5)Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China
 
S23B-4498
Laboratory investigation into foreshock sequences and their relation to nucleation processes on a frictional fault (26046)
Paul A Selvadurai and Steven D Glaser, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
S23B-4499
Real-Time Foreshock Probability Forecasting Experiments in Japan, Southern California and Whole Globe (27433)
Yosihiko Ogata, Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
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