PP44B:
Understanding Uncertainties in Paleoclimate and Paleoecology: Age Models, Proxy Processes, and Beyond II

Session ID#: 3722

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 4:00 PM-6:00 PM
2010 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Connor Nolan, University of Arizona, Tucson, United States and Deborah Khider, University of Southern California, Information Sciences Institute, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Primary Convener:  Connor Nolan, University of Arizona, Tucson, United States
Co-conveners:  John W Williams, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Geography & Center for Climatic Research, Madison, United States, Lorraine E Lisiecki, University of California, Santa Barbara, Earth Science, Santa Barbara, United States and Deborah Khider, University of Southern California, Information Sciences Institute, Los Angeles, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  John W Williams, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Geography & Center for Climatic Research, Madison, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • NG - Nonlinear Geophysics
Index Terms:

1105 Quaternary geochronology [GEOCHRONOLOGY]
3275 Uncertainty quantification [MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS]
3344 Paleoclimatology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4950 Paleoecology [PALEOCEANOGRAPHY]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

The Paleoclimate Uncertainty Cascade: Tracking Proxy Errors Via Proxy System Models. (Invited) (6081)
Julien Emile-Geay, University of Southern California, Department of Earth Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Sylvia Dee, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Michael N Evans, University of Maryland College Park, Dept of Geology and Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, United States and Jess F Adkins, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
Foraminifera Record the Good Years More than the Bad (31979)
Pincelli M Hull, Yale University, Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences, New Haven, CT, United States
Radioisotopic Tie Points of the Quaternary Geomagnetic Instability Time Scale (GITS): How Accurate and Precise? (Invited) (6529)
Brad S Singer, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Department of Geoscience, Madison, United States
A Probabilistic Model of Chronological Errors in Layer-Counted Climate Proxies (Invited) (4047)
Maud Comboul1, Julien Emile-Geay2, Michael N Evans3, Nasim Mirnateghi1, Kim M Cobb4 and Diane M Thompson5, (1)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of Southern California, Department of Earth Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)University of Maryland College Park, Dept of Geology and Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, United States, (4)Brown Univeristy, Department of Earth, Environmental, and Planetary Sciences, Providence, United States, (5)University of Arizona, Department of Geosciences, Tucson, AZ, United States
What in reality did we count? Some details of the Suigetsu chronology (SG06_2012 yr BP chronology) (Invited) (3152)
Takeshi Nakagawa, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom; Ritsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan
Quantifying Uncertainty in Spatio-temporal Forest Composition Changes Inferred from Fossil Pollen Records (24623)
Andria Dawson1, Christopher J Paciorek1, Jason S McLachlan2, Simon J Goring3, John W Williams4, Stephen T Jackson5 and The PalEON Team, (1)University of California, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States, (3)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Geography, Center for Climatic Research, & Data Science Institute, Madison, United States, (4)University of Wisconsin, Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (5)USGS Southwest Climate Adaptation Science Center, Tucson, AZ, United States
A Statistical Reconstruction of Bivariate Climate from Tree Ring Width Measurements Using Scientifically Motivated Process Models. (Invited) (7602)
John Tipton1, Mevin Hooten2, Neil Pederson3, Martin Tingley4, Daniel A Bishop3 and The PalEON Project, (1)University of Arkansas, Mathematical Sciences, Fayetteville, AR, United States, (2)Colorado State University, Statistics, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (3)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (4)Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States
Seeing the Forest for the Tree(ring)s: Guarding Against False Discovery in Large-Scale Dendroclimatology (7952)
Scott St. George, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, United States