SH51E:
Challenges to Space Weather Forecasting and Data-Driven Modeling of the Sun Focused on January 2014 I

Session ID#: 4428

Friday, 19 December 2014: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
2012 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla1, Aimee Ann Norton2 and J Todd Hoeksema2, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Heliophysics Science Division, Greenbelt, MD, United States(2)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Primary Convener:  J Todd Hoeksema, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Aimee Ann Norton, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • SM - SPA-Magnetospheric Physics
Index Terms:

2101 Coronal mass ejections [INTERPLANETARY PHYSICS]
7519 Flares [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7524 Magnetic fields [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7959 Models [SPACE WEATHER]
Virtual Option?: No

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

An Overview of the 7 January 2014 X-Class Flare-CME and Space Weather Predictions (Invited) (7594)
David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
Data-driven coronal evolutionary model of active region 11944. (Invited) (15554)
Maria Kazachenko, University of Colorado at Boulder, NSO, LASP, Boulder, CO, United States and Coronal Global Evolutionary Model (CGEM) Team
Simulating CME Eruptions from Active Regions (Invited) (6560)
Ward Manchester and Bart van der Holst, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States
The Great "Non-Event" of 7 January 2014: Challenges in CME Arrival Time and Geomagnetic Storm Strength Prediction (Invited) (3872)
M. Leila Mays1,2, Barbara J Thompson3, Lan Jian3, Rebekah M Evans3,4, Neel Savani5, Dusan Odstrcil6, Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla7,8, Ian G Richardson9 and the CCMC/SWRC team, (1)NASA/GSFC, CCMC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)Oak Ridge Associated Universities Inc., Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (5)Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States, (6)George Mason University, Fairfax, United States, (7)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Heliophysics Science Division, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (8)Catholic University of America, Washington, United States, (9)University of Maryland College Park, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, United States
The Nature of CME-flare Associated Coronal Dimming (20536)
Jianxia Cheng, Shanghai Astronomical Observatory, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Planetary Sciences, Shanghai, China, Qiu Jiong, Montana State University Bozeman, Bozeman, MT, United States and Shane Sullivan, Northern Illinois University, Physics Department, DeKalb, IL, United States
A NOAA/SWPC Perspective on Space Weather Forecasts That Fail (Invited) (5369)
Douglas Alan Biesecker, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States
Improvement of Space Weather Forecasting in Solar Cycle 24 (Invited) (4282)
Nariaki Nitta, Lockheed Martin STAR Labs, A021S, Palo Alto, CA, United States