C42B:
Polar Climate: Processes and Predictability I

Session ID#: 4808

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 10:20 AM-12:20 PM
3005 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Cecilia M Bitz, University of Washington, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States and Prof. Sarah T Gille, PhD, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States
Primary Convener:  Cecilia M Bitz, University of Washington, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States
Co-conveners:  Prof. Sarah T Gille, PhD, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States, Marilyn N Raphael, UCLA, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States and Ed Hawkins, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom
OSPA Liaison:  Prof. Sarah T Gille, PhD, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

0774 Dynamics [CRYOSPHERE]
1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1621 Cryospheric change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3349 Polar meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Enhanced Climate Changes at High Latitude

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

C42B-01
Arctic Sea Ice Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Decadal Timescales (Invited) (4173)
Virginie Guemas1,2, Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth3, Matthieu Chevallier2, Michel Déqué2, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes1,4, Neven S Fuckar1, Danila Volpi1,5 and David Salas y Mélia6, (1)Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain, (2)Météo-France Toulouse, Toulouse Cedex 01, France, (3)University of Washington, Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States, (4)Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats, Barcelona, Spain, (5)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (6)Météo-France Toulouse, Toulouse, France
C42B-02
Will sea ice thickness initialisation improve Arctic seasonal-to-interannual forecast skill? (16837)
Jonathan J Day, University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, Ed Hawkins, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom and Steffen Tietsche, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
C42B-03
CMIP5 Projections of 21st Century Westerly Wind Changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica: Long-Term Predictability and the Role of Tropical Linkages (Invited) (4152)
Tom Bracegirdle1, John Turner2, J Scott Hosking2 and Tony Phillips2, (1)British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (2)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
C42B-04
Internal Variability Limits the Predictability of a Summer Ice-Free Arctic (Invited) (2309)
Alexandra Jahn, University of Colorado Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (INSTAAR), Boulder, United States, Marika M Holland, National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, United States and Jennifer E Kay, University of Colorado Boulder, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, United States
C42B-05
Multi-Model Comparison of Southern Ocean and Sea Ice Trends in CORE-II and CMIP5 Model (Invited) (5011)
Stephanie Downes, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Stephen Matthew Griffies, NOAA / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, Riccardo Farneti, The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, Simon James Marsland, CSIRO, Aspendale, Australia, Petteri Uotila, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland and Andrew M Hogg, Australian National University and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia
C42B-06
The causes of the interannual variability of the Atlantic water inflow to the Arctic Ocean (19871)
Takao Kawasaki, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; NIPR National Institute of Polar Research, Tokyo, Japan and Hiroyasu Hasumi, AORI, Univ. of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan
C42B-07
Antarctic surface temperature and sea ice biases in coupled climate models linked with cloud and land surface properties (12970)
David P Schneider, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and David B Reusch, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Socorro, NM, United States
C42B-08
Spatio-temporal Variability of Arctic Sea Ice from Days to Decades. (25858)
John S. Wettlaufer1,2 and Sahil Agarwal2, (1)Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States, (2)University of Oxford, Mathematical Institute, Oxford, United Kingdom
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