A43D:
Multimodel and Initial-Condition Ensemble Simulations for Climate Research III Posters

Session ID#: 5366

Thursday, 18 December 2014: 1:40 PM-6:00 PM
Poster Hall (Moscone_South)
Chairs:  Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States, Jennifer E Kay, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), Boulder, United States, Jin Huang, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, United States and Benjamin P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, United States
Primary Convener:  Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
Co-conveners:  Jennifer E Kay, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), Boulder, United States, Jin Huang, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, United States and Benjamin P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • C - Cryosphere
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

 
Uncertainties of Precipitation Simulated By the CMIP5 Models and Its Sensitivity to Model Resolution (5832)
Danqing Huang1, Jian Zhu2, Yaocun Zhang1, Hua Song3 and Anning Huang1, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)Hohai University, Nanjing, China, (3)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY, United States
 
Comparison of Dryland Climate Change in Observations and CMIP5 (7129)
Mingxia Ji1, Jianping Huang2 and Yongkun Xie1, (1)Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China, (2)Collaborative Innovation Center for Western Ecological Safety, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
 
The Amplification of Australian Heatwave Characteristics in a Large Single-Model Ensemble. (9120)
Sarah Elizabeth Perkins, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, Sophie C Lewis, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, Andrew King, The Univesuty of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia, Lisa Alexander, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Erich M Fischer, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
 
Dynamical Adjustment of Surface Air Temperature Fields from Large Initial-Condition Ensemble Simulations: Ensemble Spread and Multi-Decadal Trend Attribution (13410)
Brian V Smoliak, Climate Corporation Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States, Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Adam Phillips, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Investigating Climate Responses to Large Volcanic Eruptions in an Ensemble of Climate Model Simulations (13484)
Arianna Marie Varuolo-Clarke, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States; Lyndon State College, Atmospheric Science, Lyndonville, VT, United States and Brian Medeiros, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, United States
 
Using the CESM1-CAM5 Large Ensemble to study the predictability of midlatitude atmospheric dynamics (13569)
Prof. Lorenzo M Polvani, PhD, Columbia University, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States and Abraham L Solomon, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
 
Evaluating Lossy Data Compression on Climate Simulation Data within a Large Ensemble (17083)
Allison H Baker1, John Dennis2, Dorit Hammerling1, Sheri A Mickelson1, Douglas W Nychka2 and Haiying Xu2, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Probabilistic representations of regional climate change in the CESM Large Ensemble (18734)
Nathaniel C Johnson, NOAA GFDL, Honolulu, United States and Shang-Ping Xie, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
 
Quantifying decision-relevant climate uncertainties in climate model ensembles across multiple spatial and temporal scales (20416)
Ryan L Sriver, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States, Chris E Forest, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States and Klaus Keller, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Geosciences, University Park, PA, United States
 
Global Weirding? – Using Very Large Ensembles and Extreme Value Theory to assess Changes in Extreme Weather Events Today (20529)
Friederike Elly Luise Otto1, Daniel Mitchell1, Sebastian Sippel2, Mitchell Timothy Black3, Andrea Jennifer Dittus4, Luke James Harrington5 and Nur Hanim Mohd Saleh6, (1)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (2)Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany, (3)University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, (4)University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, (5)Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand, (6)National University of Malaysia, Selangor, Malaysia
 
Irreducible uncertainty in regional near-term climate projections (21467)
Rowan Sutton1, Ed Hawkins2, Robin S Smith1, David Alan Stainforth3 and Jonathan M Gregory4,5, (1)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom, (3)London School of Economics, Grantham Research Institute, London, United Kingdom, (4)Met Office Hadley Centre and National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (5)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
 
Simulation of Present-Climate Precipitation: Parameter Perturbations and Internal Variability with the GFDL Model (25636)
Laura Zamboni1, J David Neelin2, Robert L Jacob1, Ming Zhao3, Isaac Held4 and Thomas Moore1, (1)Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)NOAA/OAR/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, (4)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Trends In Secular Mean State And Variance Changes In Ocean Carbon Uptake In RCP8.5 Large Ensemble Experiments With Two Earth System Models (26245)
Sarah Schlunegger, Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, Keith B Rodgers, IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, Jorge L Sarmiento, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Thomas L Froelicher, Universtity of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland
 
Estimating the anthropogenic sea surface temperature response using pattern scaling (27373)
Adeline Bichet1, Paul J Kushner1, Lawrence Mudryk2, Laurent Terray3 and John C Fyfe4, (1)University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, (2)University of Toronto, Department of Physics, Toronto, ON, Canada, (3)CERFACS, Toulouse, France, (4)Environment Canada, Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada
 
Estimation of Regional Inter-Annual Variability in a 40-Member Ensemble of the CCSM3 and Three Observation Grids over Québec. (30134)
David Gampe1, Blaise Gauvin St-Denis2, Diane Chaumont2 and Ralf Ludwig3, (1)Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany, (2)Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany
 
Timescales and Magnitude of Internal Variability in Surface Ocean pCO2: 1975-2036 (30736)
Darren Pilcher, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, United States, Galen A McKinley, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI, United States, Keith T Lindsay, NCAR, CGD, Boulder, United States, Matthew C Long, NCAR, Boulder, United States and Nicole S Lovenduski, University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Water under a Changing and Uncertain Climate: Lessons from Climate Model Ensembles (31021)
Brent B Boehlert, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States, Susan Solomon, MIT/EAPS, Cambridge, United States and Kenneth M Strzepek, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, United States