A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon-climate feedback: The PCN Incubation-Panarctic Thermal (PInc-PanTher) Scaling Approach

Charles D Koven1, Edward Schuur2, Christina Schaedel2, Theodore J Bohn3, Eleanor J Burke4, Guangsheng Chen5, Xiaodong Chen6, Philippe Ciais7, Guido Grosse8, Jennifer W W Harden9, Daniel J Hayes10, Gustaf Hugelius11, Elchin E Jafarov12, Gerhard Krinner13, Peter Kuhry11, David M Lawrence14, Andrew MacDougall15, Sergey S Marchenko16, Anthony David McGuire17, Susan Natali12, Dmitry Nicolsky18, David Olefeldt19, Shushi Peng20, Vladimir E Romanovsky21, Kevin M Schaefer22, Jens Strauss23, Claire C Treat16 and Merritt R Turetsky24, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (3)Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States, (4)Met Office Hadley Centre, Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Team, Exeter, United Kingdom, (5)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (6)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (7)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (8)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Permafrost Research Section, Potsdam, Germany, (9)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States, (10)University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, Orono, ME, United States, (11)Stockholm University, Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm, Sweden, (12)Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, United States, (13)LGGE Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de l’Environnement, Saint Martin d'Hères, France, (14)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (15)University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, (16)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (17)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Institute of Arctic Biology, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (18)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute, Fairbanks, United States, (19)University of Alberta, Department of Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB, Canada, (20)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (21)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Geophysical Institute, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (22)National Snow and Ice Data Center, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A, Boulder, United States, (23)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, (24)Renewable and Sustainable Energy Institute, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Boulder, United States