From provocative narrative scenarios to quantitative biophysical model results: Simulating plausible futures to 2070 in an urbanizing agricultural watershed in Wisconsin, USA

Eric Booth1, Xi Chen2, Melissa Motew3, Jiangxiao Qiu4, Sam C Zipper5, Stephen R Carpenter4, Christopher J Kucharik6 and Diego A Riveros-Iregui7, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Agronomy & Civil/Environmental Engineering, Madison, United States, (2)University of Cincinnati, Department of Geography, Cincinnati, OH, United States, (3)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, United States, (4)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (5)University of Kansas, Kansas Geological Survey, Lawrence, United States, (6)Univ Wisconsin Madison, Department of Plant and Agroecosystem Sciences, Madison, United States, (7)Univ of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI, United States