Characterizing and Interpreting Changes in Temperature and Precipitation Extremes I

Session ID#: 10360

Session Description:
Extreme weather events are, by definition, rare, but can have an outsized impact on human society. In this session, we aim to address two related questions with regard to extreme temperature and precipitation events, including drought. First, to what extent have extreme events changed in frequency and/or intensity, relative to changes in the mean? Second, what climatic influences and physical mechanisms underlie variability and changes in extreme events, and how are extremes in temperature and precipitation related? We encourage contributions that utilize new data sources, present novel methods for assessing changes in extremes given limited data, and incorporate observations with physical models.
Primary Conveners:  Karen A McKinnon, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States
Conveners:  Andrew N Rhines, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States, Peter J Huybers, Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States and Paul C Loikith, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States
Chairs:  Karen A McKinnon1, Andrew N Rhines1 and Paul C Loikith2, (1)Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States(2)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Karen A McKinnon, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States

  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • NG - Nonlinear Geophysics
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
3354 Precipitation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

J David Neelin1, Paul C Loikith2, Samuel N Stechmann3, Sandeep Sahany4, Diana N Bernstein1, Kevin Martin Quinn5, Joyce Meyerson6, Katrina Hales1 and Baird Langenbrunner1, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States, (3)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (4)National Environment Agency Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, (5)University of California, Beverly Hills, CA, United States, (6)UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Whitney K Huang, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States, Michael Stein, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States, Elisabeth J Moyer, University of Chicago, Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, IL, United States, Shanshan Sun, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, IL, United States and David McInerney, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia
Prashant D Sardeshmukh1,2, Gilbert P Compo1,2, Chesley McColl1,3 and Cecile Penland1, (1)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Laifang Li1, Raymond W Schmitt2, Caroline Ummenhofer3 and Kristopher B Karnauskas1, (1)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (2)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (3)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Physical Oceanography Department, Woods Hole, MA, United States
Pardeep Pall1, Christina M Patricola2, Michael F Wehner1 and Dáithí A Stone1, (1)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)Texas A & M University College Station, College Station, TX, United States
Isla Simpson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Richard Seager, Lamont Doherty Earth Obs, Palisades, NY, United States, Mingfang Ting, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY, United States and Tiffany Shaw, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
Daniel L Swain1, Daniel E Horton1,2, Deepti Singh1,3 and Noah S Diffenbaugh4, (1)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Science, Evanston, IL, United States, (3)Columbia University of New York, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (4)Stanford University, Earth System Science and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, CA, United States
Randall M Dole, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States