H31L:
More Effective Use of Hydroclimatic Forecasts for Decision Making in Water Resources Planning and Management I


Session ID#: 10593

Session Description:
Numerous efforts have been made to improve hydroclimatic forecasts in terms of accuracy, information context, and spatial and temporal resolution and scope. However, major questions remain, including: Why are forecasts still not utilized effectively in water resources decision making? What should be done to increase the uptake of the forecast information? This session calls for scientists, engineers and policy analysts to address these questions from the following aspects, among others: 1) generating forecast information more relevant to decision making needs at short-, medium-, or long-term scale; 2) quantifying forecast error for particular forecast and decision horizons, 3) integrating hydroclimatic forecasts with users’ behavior uncertainty and institutional setting, 4) using forecasts for managing/controling extereme climate events such as floods and droughts, 5) improving information delivery technologies and channels (e.g. those based on mobile technology).
Primary Convener:  Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
Conveners:  David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological Univ, Houghton, United States and Paul J Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Chairs:  Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States and Paul J Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
OSPA Liaison:  David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houghton, MI, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • IN - Earth and Space Science Informatics
  • PA - Public Affairs
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1821 Floods [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Developing a Climate Service: Using Hydroclimate Monitoring and Forecasting to Aid Decision Making in Africa and Latin America (Invited) (61101)
Eric F Wood1, Justin Sheffield1, Colby K Fisher2, Nathaniel W. Chaney3 and Niko Wanders4, (1)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton Climate Analytics, Princeton, United States, (3)Duke University, Durham, United States, (4)Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Seasonal Hydrologic Predictability: Sources and Limitations (Invited) (83517)
Dennis P Lettenmaier, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Understanding institutional constraints and preferences influencing the development and use of seasonal water supply forecasts (Invited) (59800)
Andrew W Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Pablo A. Mendoza, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Balaji Rajagopalan, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Martyn P Clark, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Levi D Brekke, Bureau of Reclamation, Research and Development, Denver, United States and Jeffrey Richard Arnold, MITRE Corporation Mclean, Climate + Environmental Sciences, Mclean, United States
A Climate Service Prototype for the Hydropower Industry: Using a Multi-Model Approach to Improve Seasonal Forecasts of the Spring Flood Period in Sweden. (Invited) (84116)
Kean Lars Foster1,2, Cintia B Uvo1, Jonas Olsson2, Thomas Bosshard2, Peter Berg2 and Johan Södling2, (1)Lund University, Water Resources Engineering, Lund, Sweden, (2)Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden
From Potential to Practice: How Weather and Climate Forecasts Can Be Effectively Used in Water Resources Management Decision Making (72802)
Majid Shafiee-Jood and Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts for African Basins (75502)
Aleix Serrat-Capdevila1, Juan B Valdes2, Sungwook Wi3, Tirthankar Roy4, Jason B Roberts5, Franklin R Robertson5, Eleonora M. Demaria6 and SERVIR Water Africa Arizona Team (SWAAT) Project, (1)The World Bank, Washington, DC, United States, (2)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (3)University of Massachusetts, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Amherst, MA, United States, (4)University of Arizona, Tucson, United States, (5)NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, United States, (6)USDA-ARS, Southwest Watershed Research Center, Tucson, AZ, United States
Using a High-Resolution Ensemble Modeling Method to Inform Risk-Based Decision-Making at Taylor Park Dam, Colorado (80456)
Michael Mueller, University of Colorado at Boulder - CU, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Kelly M Mahoney, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, United States and Kathleen D Holman, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Denver, United States

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