Space Weather Forecasting: Science and Operations I

Session ID#: 10671

Session Description:
Human technologies/industries are becoming more reliant on regular, uninterrupted energy supplies. They are at high risk from extreme space weather. However, such technologies/industries are also susceptible to a lesser extent by 'everyday' space weather (SW) that occurs at Earth during moderate-to-intense geomagnetic storms (often caused by CMEs, but sometimes by solar-wind structure).  Susceptibilities include power grids, airlines, communications, GNSS, etc.

The session intends to assess the state-of-the-art global SW forecasting capabilities and establish where improvements/additional services are necessary to advance our forecast/prediction of potential SW incoming to Earth.

This session solicits contributions of: ongoing developments of SW forecasting services/models; the provision of observational data/measurements from instruments/spacecraft; and pulling through of scientific models into operational use.  Contributions emphasising science from SW operational missions (e.g. GOES, DSCOVR, NOAA-2020, etc.) including those highlighting data/model gaps and that identify steps needed to further improve or keep existing SW forecasting services viable, are also highly welcomed.
Primary Convener:  Mario Mark Bisi, STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom
Convener:  David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
Chairs:  Mario Mark Bisi, STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom and David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States

  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • SA - SPA-Aeronomy
  • SM - SPA-Magnetospheric Physics
Index Terms:

4305 Space weather [NATURAL HAZARDS]
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
7959 Models [SPACE WEATHER]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Karel Schrijver, Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Center, Palo Alto, CA, United States, Kirsti Kauristie, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland, Alan Aylward, University College London, London, United Kingdom, Clezio Marcos De Nardin, INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, Sarah E Gibson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Alexi Glover, European Space Agency, Darmstadt, Germany, Nat Gopalswamy, NASA Goddard SFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Manuel Grande, Univ Wales Aberystwyth, Ceredigion, United Kingdom, Michael A Hapgood, RAL Space and STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, United Kingdom, Daniel Heynderickx, DH Consultancy, Leuven, Belgium, Norbert Jakowski, German Aerospace Center Neustrelitz, Neustrelitz, Germany, Vladimir V Kalegaev, Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia, Giovanni Lapenta, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Department of Mathematics, Leuven, Belgium, Jon Linker, Predictive Science Inc., San Diego, CA, United States, Siqing Liu, National Space Science Center, CAS, Beijing, China, Cristina H Mandrini, Instituto de Astronomía y Física del Espacio, Buenos Aires, Argentina, Ian Robert Mann, University of Alberta, Department of Physics, Edmonton, AB, Canada, Tsutomu Nagatsuma, NICT National Institute of Information and Communications Technology, Tokyo, Japan, Dibyendu Nandy, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Kolkata, Center of Excellence in Space Sciences India and Department of Physical Sciences, Kolkata, India, Takahiro Obara, JAXA, Ibakaki, Japan, Thomas Paul O'Brien III, Aerospace Corporation Santa Monica, Santa Monica, CA, United States, Terrance G Onsager, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, Hermann J Opgenoorth, Umea University, Umea, Sweden, Michael B Terkildsen, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Space Weather Services, Sydney, Australia, Cesar Enrique Valladares, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, United States and Nicole Vilmer, Paris Observatory Meudon, Meudon, France
Mark Gibbs, David Jackson, Michael S Marsh and Edmund Henley, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
Thomas E Berger, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States
Americo Gonzalez-Esparza1, Victor De la Luz2, Julio Cesar Mejia-Ambriz1, Ernesto Aguilar-Rodriguez1, Pedro Corona-Romero1 and Luis Xavier González1, (1)Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, SCiESMEX, Instituto de Geofísica, Unidad Michoacán, Mexico City, Mexico, (2)Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Instituto de Geofísica, Unidad Michoacan, Mexico City, Mexico
Kichang Yoon1, Sunhak Hong1, Sungwon Park1, Young-Yun Kim1, Gwansik Wi1 and KSWC, (1)Korean Space Weather Center, Jeju-Si, Korea, Republic of (South)
Douglas Alan Biesecker1, Alysha Reinard2, Michele D Cash3, Jeff Johnson4,5, Michael Burek2,4, Curt A de Koning6, Adam Szabo7, Andriy Koval7, Justin Christophe Kasper8, Michael Louis Stevens9, Anthony W Case9, Kevin Berberich10 and Patricia Mulligan10, (1)Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA Boulder, SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)NOAA-Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA Boulder, SWPC, Boulder, United States, (6)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (8)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (9)Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory, Cambridge, MA, United States, (10)NOAA, NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Bo Li1, Iver Hugh Cairns2, John T Gosling3, Graham Alan Steward4, Matthew Francis4, Dave Neudegg5, Hagen Schulte in den Baeumen6, Penelope R Player6 and Alistair R Milne6, (1)University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (2)University of Sydney, School of Physics, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (3)Univ Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)IPS Radio and Space Services, Haymarket, Australia, (5)University of Adelaide, Adelaide, Australia, (6)University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia