SH21B:
Space Weather Forecasting: Science and Operations III Posters


Session ID#: 7566

Session Description:
Human technologies/industries are becoming more reliant on regular, uninterrupted energy supplies. They are at high risk from extreme space weather. However, such technologies/industries are also susceptible to a lesser extent by 'everyday' space weather (SW) that occurs at Earth during moderate-to-intense geomagnetic storms (often caused by CMEs, but sometimes by solar-wind structure).  Susceptibilities include power grids, airlines, communications, GNSS, etc.

The session intends to assess the state-of-the-art global SW forecasting capabilities and establish where improvements/additional services are necessary to advance our forecast/prediction of potential SW incoming to Earth.

This session solicits contributions of: ongoing developments of SW forecasting services/models; the provision of observational data/measurements from instruments/spacecraft; and pulling through of scientific models into operational use.  Contributions emphasising science from SW operational missions (e.g. GOES, DSCOVR, NOAA-2020, etc.) including those highlighting data/model gaps and that identify steps needed to further improve or keep existing SW forecasting services viable, are also highly welcomed.
Primary Convener:  Mario Mark Bisi, STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom
Convener:  David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
Chairs:  Douglas Alan Biesecker, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, Markos Trichas, Airbus Defence and Space, Immenstaad 88090, Germany, Russell A. Howard, Applied Physics Laboratory Johns Hopkins, Laurel, United States and Lan Jian, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
OSPA Liaison:  David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • SA - SPA-Aeronomy
  • SM - SPA-Magnetospheric Physics
Index Terms:

4305 Space weather [NATURAL HAZARDS]
7513 Coronal mass ejections [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
7959 Models [SPACE WEATHER]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Matt Heavner, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, Elizabeth MacDonald, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Nathan Case, Lancaster University, Department of Physics, Lancaster, United Kingdom and Sean McCloat, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND, United States
Przemyslaw Szponarski1, Farideh Honary1 and Derek McKay-Bukowski2, (1)University of Lancaster, Lancaster, United Kingdom, (2)Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory, Sodankyla, Finland
Juliann Rose Coffey, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO, United States and Lisa M Winter, Atmospheric and Environmental Research Inc. Superior, Superior, CO, United States
Steven M Hill, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, United States
Alysha Reinard1, Andrew Marble2, Frank Hill2 and Thomas E Berger3, (1)NOAA Boulder, SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Solar Observatory, Tucson, AZ, United States, (3)NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States
Kévin Dalmasse, University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France, Douglas W Nychka, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Sarah E Gibson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Yuhong Fan, National Center for Atmospheric Research, HAO, Boulder, CO, United States
Hsiu-Shan Yu1, Bernard V Jackson2, P. Paul Hick2, Andrew Buffington3, Mario Mark Bisi4, Dusan Odstrcil5, Sunhak Hong6, Jae Hun Kim6, Jonghyuk Yi7, Munetoshi Tokumaru8 and Americo Gonzalez-Esparza9, (1)University of California San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Science, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)University of California, San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Science, La Jolla, CA, United States, (3)University of California, San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Sciences, La Jolla CA, United States, (4)STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom, (5)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (6)Korean Space Weather Center, Jeju-Si, Korea, Republic of (South), (7)Space Environment Laboratory, 150-gil, Gangnam-gu, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (8)Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan, (9)Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, LANCE, Instituto de Geofisica, Unidad Michoacan, Morelia, Mexico
David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
Mark Gibbs, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom and Mario Mark Bisi, United Kingdom Research and Innovation - Science & Technology Facilities Council -, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Didcot, United Kingdom
Mario Mark Bisi1, Richard Andrew Fallows2, C Sobey3, T Eftekhari4, Elizabeth A Jensen5, Bernard V Jackson6, Hsiu-Shan Yu7, P. Paul Hick6, Dusan Odstrcil8 and Munetoshi Tokumaru9, (1)STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom, (2)ASTRON, The Netherlands Institute for Radio Astronomy, Dwingeloo, Netherlands, (3)ASTRON, the Netherlands Institute for Radio Astronomy, Dwingeloo, Netherlands, (4)University of New Mexico Main Campus, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (5)ACS Consulting, LLC, Spring, TX, United States, (6)University of California, San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Science, La Jolla, CA, United States, (7)University of California San Diego, Center for Astrophysics and Space Science, La Jolla, CA, United States, (8)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (9)Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan
Gareth Lawrence1, Mario Mark Bisi2, Alastair Pidgeon3, Simon Reid3, Michael A Hapgood4, Yulia Bogdanova4, Jason Byrne4, Michael S Marsh5, David Jackson5 and Mark Gibbs5, (1)RHEA SYSTEM, Wavre, Belgium, (2)STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Harwell Campus, Didcot, United Kingdom, (3)RHEA TECH, Harwell, United Kingdom, (4)Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, United Kingdom, (5)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
Hebe Cremades, UTN-FRM and CONICET, Mendoza, Argentina, O C St Cyr, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Francisco Andres Iglesias, Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research, Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany, Hong Xie, Catholic University of America, Washington, DC, United States, Michael Kaiser, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 670, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Nat Gopalswamy, NASA Goddard SFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Huilian Liu, State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, National Space Science Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Igor Sokolov1, Ward Manchester2, Bart van der Holst3, Tamas I Gombosi4, Meng Jin5, Richard Mullinix6, Aleksandre Taktakishvili7, Anna Chulaki8 and Gabor Toth2, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (3)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Departament of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)University of Michigan, Department of Climate and Space, Center for Space Environment Modeling, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (5)Lockheed Martin Solar and Astrophysics Laboratory, Palo Alto, United States, (6)Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (7)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (8)NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
James Chen, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States, Valbona Kunkel, HelioMagnetics, Arlington, VA, United States and Tamitha M Skov, The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Nelson Leslie Reginald, Catholic University of America, Washington, DC, United States, Joseph M Davila, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States and O C St Cyr, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Tanja Rollett1, Christian Moestl1,2, Alexey Isavnin3, Peter D Boakes1,2, Manuel Kubicka1 and Ute Amerstorfer4, (1)Space Research Institute, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Graz, Austria, (2)Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Graz, Austria, (3)University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland, (4)Austrian Academy of Sciences, Space Research Institute, Vienna, Austria
Jens Pomoell, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
Manuel Kubicka1, Christian Moestl1,2, Tanja Rollett1, Li Feng3, Jonathan P Eastwood4 and Peter D Boakes1, (1)Space Research Institute, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Graz, Austria, (2)Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Graz, Austria, (3)Purple Mountain Observatory, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing, China, (4)Imperial College London, Physics, London, SW7, United Kingdom
Laura Antonia Balmaceda1, Angelos Vourlidas2, Guillermo Stenborg3 and Alisson Dal Lago1, (1)INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, (2)Applied Physics Laboratory Johns Hopkins, Space Department, Laurel, MD, United States, (3)US Naval Research Laboratory, Space Science Division, Washington, DC, United States
David Barnes1, Richard Anthony Harrison2, Jackie A Davies1, Jason Byrne3, Christopher H Perry4, Christian Moestl5, Alexis P Rouillard6, Volker Bothmer7, Luciano Rodriguez8, Jonathan P Eastwood9, K Emilia J Kilpua10, Dusan Odstrcil11 and Peter Gallagher12, (1)United Kingdom Research and Innovation - Science & Technology Facilities Council -, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Didcot, United Kingdom, (2)United Kingdom Research and Innovation - Science & Technology Facilities Council - Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Didcot, United Kingdom, (3)Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, United Kingdom, (4)Science and Technology Facilities Council, Didcot, OX11, United Kingdom, (5)Institute of Physics, University of Graz, Graz, Austria, (6)IRAP, Toulouse, France, (7)University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany, (8)Chapman University, Orange, CA, United States, (9)Imperial College London, Physics, London, SW7, United Kingdom, (10)University of Helsinki, Department of Physics, Helsinki, Finland, (11)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (12)Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
William Floyd Rowland1, Stefan Mihail Codrescu2, Margaret Tilton3, Robert J Redmon4, Paul T M Loto'aniu2, John Cartwright5, Heather McCullough1 and William F Denig6, (1)National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Geophysical Science Branch - Solar and Terrestrial Physics, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)NOAA Camp Springs, Camp Springs, MD, United States
Sophie A. Murray1, Edward Pope2, David Stephenson3, Michael Sharpe2, Suzy Bingham2, Edmund Henley2 and David Jackson2, (1)Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland, (2)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Clezio Marcos De Nardin, INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, Americo Gonzalez-Esparza, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, SCiESMEX, Instituto de Geofísica, Unidad Michoacán, Mexico City, Mexico and Sergio Dasso, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Alisson Dal Lago1, Jose R Cecatto2, Joaquim E R Costa1, Ligia Alves Da Silva1, Marlos Rockenbach1, Carlos Roberto Braga1, Rafael R. S. Mendonca1, Odim Mendes Jr3, Daiki Koga1, Livia Ribeiro Alves4, Fabio Becker-Guedes1, Cristiano M. Wrasse5, Hisao Takahashi5, Marcelo Banik de Padua3 and Clezio Marcos De Nardin3, (1)INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, (2)Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, (3)INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose Dos Campos, Brazil, (4)INPE National Institute for Space Research, Space Science Division, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, (5)National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São José dos Campos, Brazil
Marie Dominique1, Daniel B Seaton2, David Berghmans1, Athanassios Katsiyannis1, Matthew John West1, Laurent Dolla1, Daniel Ryan1, Katrien Bonte1, Matthieu Kretzschmar3, Ingolf E. Dammasch1, Laurence Wauters1 and Laurel A Rachmeler1, (1)Royal Observatory of Belgium, Brussels, Belgium, (2)Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, United States, (3)CNRS and University of Orléans, LPC2E, Orléans, France
Curt A de Koning, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Simon W Good, Imperial College London, London, SW7, United Kingdom and Robert J Forsyth, Imperial College London, Department of Physics, London, United Kingdom
Don Hassler, Southwest Research Institute, Boulder, CO, United States