H13I:
Hydroclimatic Extremes: Drought III Posters


Session ID#: 7974

Session Description:
Drought is among the costliest natural hazards in the U.S. and around the world. Understanding drought’s hydroclimatic causes, frequency and severity, and producing reliable predictions are of critical importance for impact assessments, disaster mitigation, and future projection. This session invites contributions from all aspects of drought monitoring, diagnostics, prediction, and projection, including (1) understanding the physical mechanism and manifestation of drought events, (2) estimation of drought frequency, spatial patterns, and intra-seasonal to inter-annual variability, (3) probabilistic and deterministic modeling and forecasting, (4) predictability of dynamic models and statistical methods in drought detection, (5) impacts of climate, landscape, and demand projections on the severity and frequency of future droughts, (6) drought indicators and assessment frameworks, and (7) diagnosis and attribution of drought events.
Primary Convener:  Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
Conveners:  L. Gwen Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, United States, Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States and Hamid Moradkhani, The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States
Chairs:  Hamid Moradkhani, The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States, Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States, L. Gwen Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, United States and Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Hamid Moradkhani, The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States
Co-Organized with:
Hydrology, Atmospheric Sciences, Earth and Planetary Surface Processes, Global Environmental Change, and Natural Hazards

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • EP - Earth and Planetary Surface Processes
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1807 Climate impacts [HYDROLOGY]
1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1833 Hydroclimatology [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Assessing Summer Drought over Oklahoma Mesonet Sites with the MODIS Land Surface Water Index (63393)
Rajen Bajgain1, Xiangming Xiao2, Jeffrey B Basara1, Pradeep Wagle3, Yuting Zhou4, Yao Zhang1 and Hayden Ray Mahan1, (1)University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, Norman, OK, United States, (2)University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, School of Biological Sciences, Norman, United States, (3)Oklahoma and Central Plains Agricultural Research Center, USDA Agricultural Research Service, EI Reno, United States, (4)Oklahoma State University, Geography, Stillwater, OK, United States
Significance of Bias Correction in Drought Frequency and Scenario Analysis Based on Climate Models (63830)
Yog Aryal, Indiana University, Bloomington IN, Midwest Climate Adaptation Science Center, Bloomington, United States and Jianting Zhu, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, United States
Risk Assessment of Drought Hazards based on Water Resource Vulnerability under Climate Change – A case study in Guangdong province, South China (64057)
Dong Hua and Yongqin David Chen, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Identifying Groundwater Droughts using standardized Water Levels (64308)
Johannes Christoph Haas and Steffen Birk, University of Graz, Graz, Austria
Investigation of Spatiotemporal Pattern of Drought in North Korea Using Remote Sensing and GIS (64396)
Jinhang Yu, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Gyeonggi-do, Korea, Republic of (South) and Kyoo-seock Lee, Sungkyunkwan University, Landscape Architecture, Suwon, Gyeonggi-do, South Korea
Forecasts of Agricultural Drought in Sri Lanka (64710)
Thushara Gunda, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, George M Hornberger, Vanderbilt University, Vanderbilt Institute for Energy and Environment, Nashville, TN, United States and Jonathan M Gilligan, Vanderbilt University, Earth and Environmental Science, Nashville, United States
Socio-economic drought in Texas: A Future Perspective (65096)
Ashok K Mishra, Clemson University, Clemson, United States and Deepthi Rajsekhar, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States
Evaluation of Drought Occurrence and Climate Change in the Pearl River Basin in South China (66781)
Yuchen DU1, Ji Chen2, Keyi Wang1 and Haiyun Shi3, (1)University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (2)University of Hong Kong, Civil Engineering, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (3)Tsinghua University, State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering, Beijing, China
Characterization of Present and Future Droughts in Northern Tuscany (Italy) (67895)
Marco D'Oria1, Massimo Ferraresi2, Paolo Molini2 and Maria Giovanna Tanda1, (1)University of Parma, Department of Engineering and Architecture, Parma, Italy, (2)University of Parma, Parma, Italy
Simulating the 2012 High Plains Drought Using Three Single Column Models (SCM) (68061)
Isaac Daniel Medina1, Ian T Baker2, A Scott Denning3 and Donald A. Dazlich1, (1)Colorado State University, Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)Colorado State University, CIRA, Fort Collins, United States, (3)Colorado State University, Department of Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States
Monitoring agricultural drought with climate-based drought indices in China (68272)
Hongshuo Wang1, Chao Zhang Sr1 and Rogers C Jeffery2, (1)CAU China Agricultural University, Beijing, China, (2)Ohio state university, Geography, Columbus, OH, United States
Monitoring and Evaluation of Cultivated Land Irrigation Guarantee Capability with Remote Sensing (68652)
Chao Zhang Sr1, Jianxi Huang2, Li Li1, Hongshuo Wang1 and Dehai Zhu2, (1)CAU China Agricultural University, Beijing, China, (2)China Agricultural University, College of Land Science and Technology, Beijing, China
Nonlinear analysis of drought dynamics (68809)
Miaomiao Ma, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China
Joint analysis of changes in temperature and precipitation on the Loess Plateau during the period 1961-2011 (69110)
Qiaohong Sun, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, Chiyuan Miao, Beijing Normal University, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing, China and Qingyun Duan, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Climatic Droughts conditions in US during the Past Century (70331)
Yan Ge, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, Dr. Tushar Apurv, PhD, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States and Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
Comparison of seven precipitation datasets for drought monitoring over the United States/global scale (70389)
Liyan Tian and Steven M Quiring, Texas A & M University College Station, College Station, TX, United States
Changes in Concurrent Droughts and Heatwaves in the United States (70428)
Omid Mazdiyasni, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States and Amir Aghakouchak, University of California Irvine - The Henry Samueli School of Engineering, Civil & Environmental Engineering Department, Irvine, CA, United States; University of California Irvine, The Henry Samueli School of Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States
The Changing Nature of Drought Risk in South-east Australia Over the Past Two Millennia (71683)
Anthony Kiem1, Michelle W Ho2 and Danielle Verdon-Kidd1, (1)Centre for Water, Climate and Land (CWCL), University of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, Australia, (2)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
Characterising droughts in Central America with uncertain hydro-meteorological data (71789)
Beatriz Quesada Montano1, Ida Westerberg2, Fredrik Wetterhall3, Hugo G Hidalgo4 and Sven Halldin1, (1)Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden, (2)IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Stockholm, Sweden, (3)European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)University of Costa Rica, San Jose, Costa Rica
Spatio-temporal analysis of drought clusters: statistical characterization and physical mechanisms of propagation (72593)
Julio Enrique Herrera-Estrada, Descartes Labs, Inc., Applied Science, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Justin Sheffield, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
Markov chain based transition probability behaviors of drought events in the Pearl River basin, China (72735)
Mingzhong Xiao1, Qiang Zhang1 and Yongqin David Chen2, (1)Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Chinese University Hong Kong, Shatin Nt, Hong Kong
Trends and Drivers of European-Scale Drought (72797)
Daniel G Kingston1, James Howard Stagge2, Lena M Tallaksen2 and David M. Hannah3, (1)University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand, (2)University of Oslo, Department of Geoscience, Oslo, Norway, (3)University of Birmingham, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom
Quantifying the effect of parameter uncertainties on the simulation of drought in the Community Atmosphere Model (74974)
Gemma Jayne Anderson, Celine Bonfils, Donald D Lucas and Benjamin D Santer, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
Categorical Drought Monitoring and Prediction in the United States Based on NLDAS-2 (76120)
Zengchao Hao1, Youlong Xia2, Fanghua Hao1 and Vijay P Singh3, (1)Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, (2)Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Texas A & M University, Department of Biological & Agricultural Engineering, College Station, TX, United States
Developing an Analysis Program to Estimate and Prediction Groundwater Droughts in Korea from Groundwater Time-Series Data. (76261)
Sunjoo Cho, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), Nam C Woo, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea and Jae-Min Lee, Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources, Daejeon, South Korea
Drought Assessment Using Tritium River Water Measurements for Existing Dam Infrastructure in the Ishikari River basin, Japan (76333)
Maksym Gusyev1, Uwe Morgenstern2, Michael K Stewart2, Yusuke Yamazaki3, Kazuhisa Kashiwaya4, Daisuke Kuribayashi5, Hisaya Sawano3 and Yoichi Iwami6, (1)Fukushima University, Fukushima, Japan, (2)GNS Science-Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences Ltd, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, (3)ICHARM International Centre for Water Hazard And Risk Management, Tsukuba, Japan, (4)Civil Engineering Research Institute for Cold Region, Sapporo, Japan, (5)International Centre for Water Hazard and Risk Management (ICHARM), Public Works Research Institute (PWRI), Tsukuba, Japan, (6)International Centre for Water Hazard And Risk Management(ICHARM), PWRI, Tsukuba, Japan
Validity of Drought Indices as Drought Predictors in the South-Central United States (76825)
Robert V Rohli1, Nazla Bushra1, Nina Lam2, Lei Zou3, Volodymyr Mihunov2, Margaret Reams2 and Jennifer Argote2, (1)Louisiana State University, Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, (2)Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, (3)Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, United States
Drought Depiction by Reanalysis Precipitation Datasets in Sub-Saharan Africa (77514)
Wang Zhan, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Eric F Wood, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States
An evaluation of Dynamic TOPMODEL for low flow simulation (77975)
Gemma Coxon1, Jim E Freer2, Niall Quinn3, Ross A Woods4, Thorsten Wagener4 and Nicholas J K Howden5, (1)University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, (2)University of Saskatchewan Coldwater Laboratory, Canmore, AB, Canada, (3)Fathom, Bristol, United Kingdom, (4)University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, United Kingdom, (5)University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
Drought and Snow: Analysis of Drivers, Processes and Impacts of Streamflow Droughts in Snow-Dominated Regions (78194)
Anne Van Loon1, Gregor Laaha2, Henny Van Lanen3, Juraj Parajka4, Anne K Fleig5 and Stefan Ploum3, (1)University of Birmingham, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, United Kingdom, (2)Institute of Applied Statistics and Computing, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria, (3)Wageningen University, Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Wageningen, Netherlands, (4)Vienna University of Technology, Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna, Austria, (5)Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), Oslo, Norway
Seasonal Drought Prediction in India (78198)
Reepal Shah, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, India and Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, 382, India
Backscattering characteristics Analyses of winter wheat covered area and Drought Monitoring Based on active microwave (79612)
Li Li and Chao Zhang Sr, CAU China Agricultural University, Beijing, China
RISA progress in the development of drought indicators to support decision making (79752)
Sarah Close and Caitlin Fiona Simpson, NOAA Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD, United States
An end-to-end analysis of drought from smallholder farms in southwest Jamaica (79918)
Walter R Scott Curtis III1, Douglas W Gamble2 and Jeff Popke1, (1)East Carolina University, Geography, Planning, and Environment, Greenville, NC, United States, (2)University of North Carolina at Wilmington, Earth and Ocean Sciences, Wilmington, NC, United States
Is Snowpack Drought an Increasing Threat in the Pacific Northwest? (80508)
Muhammad Ghulam Barik1, Mingliang Liu2, Claudio Stockle3, John T Abatzoglou4 and Jennifer C Adam2, (1)Washington State University, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (2)Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (3)Washington State University, Department of Biological Systems Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (4)University of Idaho, Department of Geography, Moscow, United States
Past and future hydro-climatic change and the 2015 drought in the interior of western Canada (83433)
Chris M DeBeer1, Howard S. Wheater2, John W Pomeroy3, Ronald E Stewart4, Kit Szeto5, Julian Brimelow6, Kwok Pan Chun1, Mohammad Badrul Masud1 and Barrie R Bonsal7, (1)University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (2)Centre for Hydrology and Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (3)University of Saskatchewan, Centre for Hydrology, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (4)University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada, (5)Environment Canada, Downsview, ON, Canada, (6)Environment Canada Edmonton, Edmonton, AB, Canada, (7)Environment Canada Saskatoon, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
A Multivariate and Probabilistic Assessment of Drought in the Pacific Northwest under Observed and Future Climate. (84078)
Md Rubayet Mortuza and Yonas Demissie, Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States
The Feasibility Study of Using Microwave Emission in Detecting Drought and Land-Cover/Land-Use Change Studies (84432)
Yanna Chen, New York City College of Technology, Brooklyn, NY, United States, Hamid Norouzi, New York City College of Technology, CUNY, Brooklyn, United States, Amir Aghakouchak, University of California Irvine, The Henry Samueli School of Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States and Reginald Blake, CUNY New York City College of Technology, Brooklyn, United States
Use of spot measurements to improve the estimation of low streamflow statistics. (85823)
Charles N. Kroll, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY, United States, Timothy J. Stagnitta, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, United States and Richard M Vogel, Tufts University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Medford, MA, United States
Global synthesis of drought effects on cereal production (60019)
Stefani Daryanto1, Prof. Lixin Wang, PhD2 and Pierre-Andre Jacinthe1, (1)Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis, Earth Sciences, Indianapolis, IN, United States, (2)Indiana University Indianapolis, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indianapolis, United States
On the Utility of In-Situ Soil Moisture Observations for Flash Drought Early Warning in the Central United States (60874)
Trent Ford1, Douglas B McRoberts2, Steven M Quiring3 and Ryann Hall2, (1)Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Geography and Environmental Resources, Carbondale, IL, United States, (2)Texas A & M University, College Station, TX, United States, (3)Texas A & M University College Station, College Station, TX, United States
The Future Impact of Meteorological, Hydrological, and Agricultural Droughts in Jordan (61537)
Deepthi Rajsekhar, Stanford University, School of Earth, Energy, and Environmental Sciences, Stanford, CA, United States and Steven M. Gorelick, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States
Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains (62690)
Benjamin Cook, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, Toby Ault, Cornell University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Science, Ithaca, NY, United States and Jason E Smerdon, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States

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