NG23B:
Stochastic Modeling in Atmosphere, Ocean, and Climate Dynamics: Pattern Formation and Self-Organization in Earth Systems II Posters


Session ID#: 8183

Session Description:
Stochastic approaches play a role of increasing importance in atmosphere, ocean, and climate models across the hierarchy of complexity. This session welcomes submissions related to stochastic processes in meteorology, oceanography, and climate science, including discussion of new modelling techniques; stochastic parameterization schemes; and data-driven stochastic modelling.
Primary Convener:  Paul Williams, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Conveners:  Cecile Penland, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States, Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada and Sally E Thompson, University of California Berkeley, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, CA, United States
Chairs:  Cecile Penland, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
OSPA Liaison:  Sally E Thompson, University of California Berkeley, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

3265 Stochastic processes [MATHEMATICAL GEOPHYSICS]
3325 Monte Carlo technique [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Rewinding the History of Growth of Stream Networks Fed by Groundwater (67462)
Eric Stansifer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, EAPS, Cambridge, MA, United States, Olivier Devauchelle, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris, France and Daniel Rothman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States
Analysis of Biophysical Mechanisms of Gilgai Microrelief Formation in Dryland Swelling Soils Using Ultra-High Resolution Aerial Imagery (67847)
Natasha Krell, College of the Atlantic, Bar Harbor, ME, United States, Keita F DeCarlo, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Kelly K Caylor, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States
Migration Rate Of Tidal Meanders: Inferences From The Venice Lagoon (68245)
Alvise Finotello1, Andrea D'Alpaos1, Massimiliano Ghinassi1, Stefano Lanzoni2, Marco Marani3 and Andrea Rinaldo4, (1)University of Padova, Department of Geosciences, Padova, Italy, (2)University of Padua, Padua, Italy, (3)University of Padova, DICEA, Padova, Italy, (4)Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
Crack patterns in layers: effect of the thickness and mechanical properties (71824)
Ludovic Pauchard, CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France and Aurore Sibrant, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, United States; CNRS / University Paris-Sud, Laboratoire FAST, Orsay, France
Seepage Bifurcation as a Critical Process (72711)
Robert Yi and Daniel Rothman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
Experimental evidence of reorganizing landscape under changing climatic forcing (81034)
Arvind Singh, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, United States, Alejandro Tejedor, St. Anthony Falls Laboratory, Minneapolis, MN, United States, Ilya V Zaliapin, University of Nevada, Reno, Mathematics and Statistics, Reno, NV, United States, Liam Reinhardt, University of Exeter, Penryn, United Kingdom and Efi Foufoula-Georgiou, University of California Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
Sub-meter desiccation crack patterns imaged by Curiosity at Gale Crater on Mars shed additional light on former lakes evident from examined outcrops (85255)
Bernard Hallet, University of Washington, Earth and Space Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Ronald S Sletten, University of Washington, Quaternary Research Center, Earth and Space Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Nicolas Mangold, LPGN Laboratoire de Planétologie et Géodynamique de Nantes, Nantes Cedex 03, France, Dorothy Z Oehler, Johnson Space Center, Houston, TX, United States, Rebecca M. E. Williams, Planetary Science Institute, Tucson, United States, David L Bish, Indiana University - Bloomington, Department of Chemistry, Bloomington 47405 IN, United States, Ezat Heydari, Jackson State University, Dept. of Physics, Atmospheric Sciences, & Geoscience, Jackson, MS, United States, David M Rubin, University of California-Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States and Scott Kaniela Rowland, University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, Department of Earth Sciences, Honolulu, United States
Improved ensemble-mean forecast skills of ENSO events by a zero-mean stochastic model-error model of an intermediate coupled model (68661)
Fei Zheng and Jiang Zhu, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
Construction of embedding for empirical prognostic models of climate (75139)
Alexander M Feigin1, Dmitry Mukhin2, Andrey Gavrilov1 and Evgeny M Loskutov1, (1)Institute of Applied Physics RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, (2)Institute of Applied Physics of RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia
An Ensemble-type Approach to Numerical Error Estimation (80194)
Jan Ackmann, Jochem Marotzke and Peter Korn, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
The ScaLIng Macroweather Model (SLIMM) and monthly and inter annual regional forecasting. (80700)
Lenin Del Rio Amador, Leila Sloman and Shaun Lovejoy, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
The influence of time-varying external forcings on turbulent transitions in the stable boundary layer (80881)
Dr. Amber M. Holdsworth, MSc PhD and Adam H Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
Efficient Simulation and Downscaling of Large Non-Stationary Fields with Varying Local Anisotropy (82649)
Boyko Dodov, Verisk Analytics, Boston, United States
Stochastic Upper Bounds in the Lorenz Equations and Applications to Geophysical Flows and Data. (86339)
Sahil Agarwal1 and John S. Wettlaufer1,2, (1)Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States, (2)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
An introduction of a new stochastic tropical cyclone model for Japan area (86341)
Kazue Suzuki, ISM Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan, Shinya Nakano, Joint-Support Center for Data Science Research, Center for Data Assimilation Research and Applications, Tachikawa, Japan, Genta Ueno, The Inst of Statistical Math, Tokyo, Japan, Nobuhito Mori, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan and Sota Nakajo, Kumamoto University, Graduate school of Science and Technology, Kumamoto, Japan
Nonlinear Empirical Decomposition of Space-Time Distributed Data (67365)
Evgeny M Loskutov1, Dmitry Mukhin2, Andrey Gavrilov1 and Alexander M Feigin1, (1)Institute of Applied Physics RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, (2)Institute of Applied Physics of RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia
On the Distinctively Skewed and Heavy Tailed Character of Atmospheric and Oceanic Probability Distributions (67436)
Cecile Penland, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Prashant D Sardeshmukh, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Chaotic Attractor Crisis and Climate Sensitivity: a Transfer Operator Approach (66557)
Alexis Tantet, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht, 3584, Netherlands, Valerio Lucarini, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Frank Lunkeit, Universität Hamburg, Department of Earth System Sciences, Meteorological Institute, Hamburg, Germany and Hendrik A Dijkstra, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Forecasting Ambient O3 Concentration Using Singular Spectrum Analysis (63085)
Benjamin Thomas Hansen, Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA, United States and Kimihiro Noguchi, Western Washington University, Bellingham, United States
Extraction of Nonlinear Dynamical Modes Underlying Climate Variability (60034)
Dmitry Mukhin1, Andrey Gavrilov2, Evgeny M Loskutov2, Alexander M Feigin2 and Jurgen Kurths2,3, (1)Institute of Applied Physics of RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, (2)Institute of Applied Physics RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, (3)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany

See more of: Nonlinear Geophysics