GC31A:
Advancing Science of the Arctic System: Exploring the Past and Present to Predict the Future I Posters


Session ID#: 8314

Session Description:
While some of the largest impacts arising from climate change are expected to occur in the Arctic, there remain many gaps in our understanding and representation of critical processes in models of the Arctic system. The IARPC Science Plan identifies some necessary steps for model improvements that may lead to improved projections of variability in sea ice, snow cover, ocean, atmosphere and land states. An integrated and coordinated effort is required to improve the fidelity of Arctic system models, their capability to project future changes, and to enable informed use of those projections.

We solicit papers that advance understanding of the Arctic system through simulation and comparison of global and regional climate models with observations of the past and present behavior of the Arctic system. We also solicit presentations that identify and evaluate individual parameterizations, model components, and coupled feedbacks that control variability and affect uncertainty in Arctic climate predictions.

Primary Convener:  Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski, Ph.D., Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States
Conveners:  Scott Harper, Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA, United States, Philip W Jones, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States and Renu Joseph, Department of Energy Washington DC, Washington, United States
Chairs:  Philip W Jones, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski, Ph.D., Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Scott Harper, Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA, United States
Index Terms:

0750 Sea ice [CRYOSPHERE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4207 Arctic and Antarctic oceanography [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Collaboration in Arctic Research: Best Practices to Build and Sustain Successful Cross- and Trans-disciplinary Efforts (82826)
Helen V Wiggins, Arctic Research Consortium of the U.S. (ARCUS), Fairbanks, United States and Robert H Rich, ARCUS, Washington, DC, United States
Long-term Variability in Pacific Decadal Oscillation Teleconnections to Climate in Alaska: From "In a Relationship" to "It’s Complicated" (70602)
Sonia Heckler, University of Nevada Reno, Geography, Reno, NV, United States and Stephanie A McAfee, USGS Southwest climate adaptation science center, Reno, United States
Uncertainty in Arctic Surface Fluxes and Their Influence on the Global Ocean (79184)
Christopher M Little, Verisk Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Lexington, United States, Christopher G Piecuch, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States and Ayan H Chaudhuri, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Lexington, MA, United States
Impact of Decreasing Perennial Arctic Sea Ice Extent on Local and Remote Water Masses as Depicted by a 60-Year Forced Global Coupled 0.1° Ocean/Sea Ice Simulation (84580)
Julie McClean, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, David A Bailey, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and Caroline Papadopoulos, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
Wind-Driven Freshwater Buildup in the Beaufort Gyre is Inevitably Constrained by Mesoscale Eddies. (86325)
Georgy E Manucharyan, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States and Michael A Spall, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA, United States
Mesoscale eddies over the Laptev Sea continental slope in the Arctic Ocean (62872)
Andrey Pnyushkov1, Igor Polyakov1 and An T Nguyen2, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
Parameterizing ice-edge biological productivity in a changing Arctic: Growth factors associated with specific ice provenances (85180)
Raymond Sambrotto, Columbia Univ, Palisades, NY, United States
Changes in Arctic Sea Ice Floe Size Distribution in the Marginal Ice Zone in a Thickness and Floe Size Distribution Model (73615)
Jinlun Zhang1, Harry L Stern III2, Phil Byongjun Hwang3, Axel J B Schweiger4, Margaret Stark5 and Michael Steele4, (1)University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (2)Univ Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)Scottish Marine Institute, Oban, Argyll, United Kingdom, (4)Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Polar Science Center, Seattle, WA, United States, (5)University of Washington, Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, Seattle, WA, United States
A New Ice-sheet / Ocean Interaction Model for Greenland Fjords using High-Order Discontinuous Galerkin Methods (75098)
Michal A Kopera1, Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski, Ph.D.1 and Francis Giraldo2, (1)Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States, (2)Naval Postgraduate School, Department of Applied Mathematics, Monterey, CA, United States
Regional Arctic System Model (RASM): A Tool to Address the U.S. Priorities and Advance Capabilities for Arctic Climate Modeling and Prediction (81668)
Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski, Ph.D.1, Andrew Roberts2, John J Cassano3, William J Gutowski Jr4, Bart Nijssen5, Robert Osinski6, Xubin Zeng7, Michael Brunke7, Alice K DuVivier8, Joseph Hamman9, Saffia Hossainzadeh10, Mimi Abel11 and Mark W Seefeldt11, (1)Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States, (2)Lost Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States, (3)University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Iowa State University, Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States, (5)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (6)Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, Sopot, Poland, (7)University of Arizona, Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, (8)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (9)Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (10)University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (11)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Evaluation of climate model skill in representing upper Arctic Ocean hydrography for its potential effect on sea ice. (60047)
Dominic DiMaggio1, Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski, Ph.D.1, Robert Osinski2, Andrew Roberts3 and Jaclyn L Clement Kinney4, (1)Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States, (2)Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, Sopot, Poland, (3)Lost Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States, (4)Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, United States
Evaluating Land-Atmosphere-Ocean-Sea Ice Interface Processes in the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM1.0) (83805)
Xubin Zeng and Michael Brunke, University of Arizona, Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States
Dynamical Circulation Regimes and Temperature Extremes in the Contemporary and 21st Century Arctic (75289)
Brandon J Fisel, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States and William J Gutowski Jr, Iowa State University, Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States

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