H33D:
More Effective Use of Hydroclimatic Forecasts for Decision Making in Water Resources Planning and Management II Posters


Session ID#: 8379

Session Description:
Numerous efforts have been made to improve hydroclimatic forecasts in terms of accuracy, information context, and spatial and temporal resolution and scope. However, major questions remain, including: Why are forecasts still not utilized effectively in water resources decision making? What should be done to increase the uptake of the forecast information? This session calls for scientists, engineers and policy analysts to address these questions from the following aspects, among others: 1) generating forecast information more relevant to decision making needs at short-, medium-, or long-term scale; 2) quantifying forecast error for particular forecast and decision horizons, 3) integrating hydroclimatic forecasts with users’ behavior uncertainty and institutional setting, 4) using forecasts for managing/controling extereme climate events such as floods and droughts, 5) improving information delivery technologies and channels (e.g. those based on mobile technology).
Primary Convener:  Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
Conveners:  David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological Univ, Houghton, United States and Paul J Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Chairs:  Paul J Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States and Ximing Cai, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States
OSPA Liaison:  David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houghton, MI, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • IN - Earth and Space Science Informatics
  • PA - Public Affairs
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1821 Floods [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Effect of climate change on the irrigation and discharge scheme for winter wheat in Huaibei Plain, China (59755)
Yonghua Zhu1, Liliang Ren1, Haishen Lü1, Yaning Chen2 and Zhenlong Wang3, (1)Hohai University, Nanjing, China, (2)State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, China, (3)Water Resources Research Institute of Anhui Province and Huai River Conservancy, Bengbu, China
A Real-time Irrigation Forecasting System in Jiefangzha Irrigation District, China (Invited) (59759)
Zhentao Cong, Tsinghua University, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Beijing, China
Optimal Hedging Rule for Reservoir Refill Operation (62414)
Wenhua Wan1, Jianshi Zhao2, Jay R Lund3, Tongtiegang Zhao1, Xiaohui Lei4 and Hao Wang5, (1)Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, (2)Tsinghua University, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Beijing, China, (3)Center of Watershed Sciences, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States, (4)China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Department of Water Resources, Beijing, China, (5)State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Department of Water Resources, Beijing, China
Diagnosing the Land-Atmosphere Interactions of Tibetan Plateau and Their Impact on the Subsequent Climate Changes over Asia (63991)
Di Liu, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Improving Seasonal Precipitation Predictions over the East River Basin, South China by Using Bias-corrected CFSv2 Forecasts (66124)
Dagang Wang1, Chen Zhu1, Yuzhen Wu1, Kairong Lin1, Bingjun Liu2, Zhihe Chen3, Tu Xinjun4 and Mingzhi Huang1, (1)Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Civil Engineering, Guangzhou, China, (3)Sun Yat-Sen University, Department of Water Resources and Environment, Geography and Planning School, Guangzhou, China, (4)Sun Yat-Sen University, Center of Water Resources and Environment, School of Civil Engineering, Guangzhou, China
A study of Alert Standard Rainfall for Urban Medium and Small Rivers (66853)
Yangho Song, Youngseok Song, Moojong Park, Hwandon Jun and Jungho Lee, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States
Effective use of integrated hydrological models in basin-scale water resources management: surrogate modeling approaches (Invited) (68195)
Yi Zheng, Peking University, College of Engineering, Beijing, China, Bin Wu, Department of Energy and Resources Engineering, College of Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China and Xin Wu, Peking University, Beijing, China
Snow Water Equivalent Retrieval Using Multitemporal COSMO Skymed X-Band SAR Images To Inform Water Systems Operation (Invited) (69039)
Simona Denaro1, Umberto Del Gobbo1, Andrea Castelletti2, Stefano Tebaldini1 and Andrea Monti Guarnieri1, (1)Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy, (2)Politecnico di Milano, Department of Electronics, Information, and Bioengineering, Milano, Italy
Future Reference Evapotranspiration Projection and the Potential Uncertainties from Various Approaches with the Combination of Different Estimating Formulations and Input Data Reliabilities (69301)
Weiguang Wang, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Spatial Rainfall Prediction Based on PGD-MRF Hybrid Model (72089)
Yunyun Li and Jianxia Chang, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, China
A Hybrid Model for ET (Evapotranspiration) Forecasting Based on EEMD for ET-based Water Resources Management (72471)
Aijun Guo and Yimin Wang, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, China
Sensitivity of reservoir storage and outflow to climate change in a water-limited river basin (73618)
Gang Zhao1, Huilin Gao1, Bibi S Naz2, Shih-Chieh Kao3 and Nathalie Voisin4, (1)Texas A & M University College Station, College Station, TX, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Multivariate Climate-Weather Forecasting System: An Integrated Approach for Mitigating Agricultural Risks in Punjab (74091)
Arun Ravindranath, CUNY Hunter College, New York, NY, United States and Naresh Devineni, CUNY City College of New York, Department of Civil Engineering, New York, NY, United States
The Optimal Operation of Multi-reservoir Floodwater Resources Control Based on GA-PSO (74849)
Xianfeng Huang1,2, Xiaoxi Zhu3, Yanqing Lian2, Guohua Fang1 and Lixiang Zhu4, (1)Hohai University, College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Nanjing, China, (2)University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, The Prairie Research Institute, Champaign, IL, United States, (3)Hohai University, College of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering, Nanjing, China, (4)Water Conservancy Bureau of Lianyungang City, Lianyungang, China
Value versus Accuracy: application of seasonal forecasts to a hydro-economic optimization model for the Sudanese Blue Nile (75117)
Saleh Satti1, Benjamin F Zaitchik1, Sauleh Siddiqui2, Hamada S Badr3, Shraddhanand Shukla4 and Christa D Peters-Lidard5, (1)Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States, (2)American University, Washington, DC, United States, (3)Johns Hopkins Univ, Baltimore, MD, United States, (4)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (5)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Variations of, and Changes in the Hydroclimatology of the Southeast United States (75248)
Johanna Engstrom and Peter R Waylen, University of Florida, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
Just How Accurate are Your Probabilistic Forecasts? Improving Forecast Quality Assessment in the Presence of Sampling Uncertainty (76381)
Tae-Ho Kang1, Ashish Sharma2 and Lucy Amanda Marshall2, (1)University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (2)University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Assessment of Precipitation and Drought Variability in Weihe River of China Over the Period 1960-2010 (Invited) (79781)
Jianxia Chang and Yimin Wang, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, China
Bias correction of daily precipitation in south-central Chile using NCEP CFSv2 (82594)
Lina Mabel Castro Heredia1,2, Tamara Maass1, Francisco I Suarez3 and Bonifacio Fernandez1, (1)Pontifical Catholic University of Chile, Santiago, Chile, (2)Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile, (3)Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Department of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, Santiago, Chile
Categorical forecasts for dam inflows based on flexible generalised linear models, Huites Mexico (84780)
Floris Frederik van Ogtrop1, Martin Jose Montero-Martinez2, Waldo Ojeda2, Julio Sergio Santana2, Ivan Rivas2 and Rutger W Vervoort3, (1)University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia, (2)IMTA Mexican Institute of Water Technology, Jiutepec, Mexico, (3)University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
An Interactive Real-time Decision Support System for Leachate Irrigation on Evapotranspiration Landfill Covers (85918)
Yusong Wang, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States

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