B21M:
The Global Carbon Cycle: Recent History, Future Projections, and Policy Relevance I


Session ID#: 8705

Session Description:
The session focuses on new advances in understanding and constraining the human perturbation of the carbon cycle, the contemporary budget, and past and future trends of its various emission and sink components. This includes global emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels and land use change, the evolution of the CO2 sinks on land and oceans, lateral flows of carbon from land to ocean, and embedded carbon flows in international trade of products and services. Airborne fraction, sink rates and other diagnostics to track changes in the human perturbation of the carbon cycle are also sought in this session, as well as examples of how the budget data is being used to inform climate policy development.
Primary Conveners:  Josep Canadell, CSIRO Marine & Atmospheric Res, Canberra, Australia
Conveners:  Robert B Jackson, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Chairs:  Josep Canadell, CSIRO Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship Canberra, Yarralumla, ACT, Australia and Robert B Jackson, Stanford University, School of Earth, Energy, and Environmental Sciences, Stanford, CA, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Josep Canadell, CSIRO Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship Canberra, Yarralumla, ACT, Australia

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • IGBP: International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme -

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Philippe Ciais, CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France
Philippe Bousquet1, Marielle Saunois1, Josep Canadell2, Benjamin Poulter3, Anna Peregon1, Edward J Dlugokencky4, Giuseppe Etiope5, David Bastviken6, J F Lamarque7, Philippe Ciais8, Global Carbon Project CH49 and Global Carbon Project - CH4, (1)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (2)CSIRO Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship Canberra, Yarralumla, ACT, Australia, (3)Montana State University, Institute on Ecosystems and the Department of Ecology, Bozeman, MT, United States, (4)NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Rome, Italy, (6)Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden, (7)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (8)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (9)CSIRO Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship Canberra, Yarralumla, Australia
Hanqin Tian1, Chaoqun Lu2, Philippe Ciais3, Anna M Michalak4, Josep Canadell5, Eri Saikawa6, Deborah N Huntzinger7, Kevin R Gurney8, Stephen Sitch9, Bowen Zhang10, Jia Yang10, Philippe Bousquet11, Lori Bruhwiler12, Guangsheng Chen13, Edward J Dlugokencky12, Pierre Friedlingstein14, Jerry M Melillo15, Shufen Pan10, Benjamin Poulter16, Ronald G Prinn17, Marielle Saunois11, Christopher Schwalm18 and Steven C Swofsy19, (1)Auburn University at Montgomery, Montgomery, AL, United States, (2)Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States, (3)CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France, (4)Carnegie Institution for Science Washington, Washington, DC, United States, (5)CSIRO Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship Canberra, Yarralumla, ACT, Australia, (6)Emory University, Atlanta, GA, United States, (7)Northern Arizona University, School of Earth Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (8)Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States, (9)University of Exeter, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom, (10)Auburn University, International Center for Climate and Global Change Research and School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn, AL, United States, (11)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (12)NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (13)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (14)University of Exeter, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom, (15)MBL, The Ecosystems Center, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (16)Montana State University, Institute on Ecosystems and the Department of Ecology, Bozeman, MT, United States, (17)MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States, (18)Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (19)Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States
Robert J Andres and Tom Boden, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Steven J Davis1, Julie Rozenberg2, Stephane Hallegatte3 and Ulf Narloch2, (1)University California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, (2)World Bank, Office of the Chief Economist for Climate Change, Washington, DC, United States, (3)World Bank, Washington, DC, United States
Anders Ahlström1,2, Michael R Raupach3, Guy Schurgers4, Benjamin Smith5, Almut Arneth6, Martin Jung7, Markus Reichstein8, Josep Canadell9, Pierre Friedlingstein10, Atul K Jain11, Etsushi Kato12, Benjamin Poulter13, Stephen Sitch14, Benjamin David Stocker15, Nicolas Viovy16, Yingping Wang17, Andy Wiltshire18, Soenke Zaehle7 and Ning Zeng19, (1)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Lund University, Lund, Sweden, (3)Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, (4)University of Copenhagen, København K, Denmark, (5)Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden, (6)Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany, (7)Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany, (8)Max-Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Department of Biogeochemical Integration, Jena, Germany, (9)CSIRO Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship Canberra, Yarralumla, ACT, Australia, (10)University of Exeter, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom, (11)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, (12)NIES National Institute of Environmental Studies, Ibaraki, Japan, (13)Montana State University, Institute on Ecosystems and the Department of Ecology, Bozeman, MT, United States, (14)University of Exeter, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom, (15)Imperial College London, London, SW7, United Kingdom, (16)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (17)CSIRO, Ocean and Atmosphere Flagship, Aspendale, Australia, (18)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (19)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Deborah N Huntzinger1, Anna M Michalak2, Christopher Schwalm3, Philippe Ciais4, Kevin M Schaefer5, Anthony W King6, Yaxing Wei7, Robert B Cook7, Joshua Fisher8, Daniel J Hayes9, Maoyi Huang10, Akihiko Ito11, Atul K Jain12, Huimin Lei13, Chaoqun Lu14, Fabienne Maignan4, Jiafu Mao15, Nick Parazoo16, Shushi Peng4, Benjamin Poulter17, Daniel M Ricciuto7, Xiaoying Shi6, Hanqin Tian18, Weile Wang19, Ning Zeng20 and Fang Zhao20, (1)Northern Arizona University, School of Earth Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (2)Carnegie Institution for Science, Department of Global Ecology, Stanford, CA, United States, (3)Woods Hole Research Center, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (4)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (5)University of Colorado, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (7)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (8)Jet Propulsion Lab, Pasadena, CA, United States, (9)University of Maine, School of Forest Resources, Orono, ME, United States, (10)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, Richland, WA, United States, (11)National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan, (12)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, (13)Pacific NW Nat'l Lab-Atmos Sci, Richland, WA, United States, (14)Iowa Sate University, Ames, IA, United States, (15)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (16)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (17)Montana State University, Institute on Ecosystems and the Department of Ecology, Bozeman, MT, United States, (18)Auburn University, International Center for Climate and Global Change Research and School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn, AL, United States, (19)NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA, United States, (20)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Kazuhito Ichii1,2, Masayuki Kondo3, Masahito Ueyama4, Akihiko Ito3,5, Hideki Kobayashi6, Shamil S Maksyutov1, Takashi Maki7, Takashi Nakamura8, Yosuke Niwa7, Prabir Kumar Patra3, Tazu Saeki3, Hisashi Sato3, Takahiro Sasai9, Nobuko Saigusa1, Hanqin Tian10, Yuji Yanagi3, Bowen Zhang11 and Asia-MIP, (1)CGER-NIES, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Department of Environmental Geochemical Cycle Research, Kanagawa, Japan, (3)JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan, (4)Osaka Prefecture University, Sakai, Japan, (5)National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan, (6)Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan, (7)Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan, (8)Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan, (9)University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan, (10)Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States, (11)Auburn University, International Center for Climate and Global Change Research and School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn, AL, United States

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