SH51B:
Scientific Aspects of Space Weather Forecasting II Posters


Session ID#: 8711

Session Description:
New satellite-based observations and physics-based models encompassing the solar corona to Earth’s upper atmosphere are advancing space weather science. The Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph and Solar Dynamics Observatory missions are providing comprehensive measurements of the structure and dynamics of solar drivers, and the Van Allen Probes are measuring manifestations of space weather at Earth. Furthermore, the Magnetospheric Multiscale Mission is expected to deliver new insights on magnetic reconnection, the most important physical process underlying space weather. Solar-heliosphere models now transitioned to operations are permitting 1-4 day advance warning of disturbances. Yet, enormous scientific challenges remain in understanding and forecasting space weather. We invite presentations covering fundamental science, modeling, and observations in the solar, heliosphere, magnetosphere and upper atmosphere domains. Talks addressing forecasting complex phenomena are welcome.
Primary Convener:  Anthony J Mannucci, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
Conveners:  Tamas I Gombosi, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States and Spiro K Antiochos, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chairs:  Anthony J Mannucci, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, Tamas I Gombosi, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States and Spiro K Antiochos, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Anthony J Mannucci, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
Co-Organized with:
SPA-Solar and Heliospheric Physics, and SPA-Aeronomy

Cross-Listed:
  • SA - SPA-Aeronomy
  • SM - SPA-Magnetospheric Physics
Index Terms:

2774 Radiation belts [MAGNETOSPHERIC PHYSICS]
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
7949 Ionospheric storms [SPACE WEATHER]
7974 Solar effects [SPACE WEATHER]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Real Time Solar-Helio Simulation System Based on the SWMF and ENLIL Models at CCMC. (63536)
Aleksandre Taktakishvili, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Dusan Odstrcil, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Igor Sokolov, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Bart van der Holst, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Departament of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Dogacan Su Ozturk, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, AOSS, Ann Arbor, United States and Tamas I Gombosi, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States
Towards a Data-Optimized Coronal Magnetic Field Model (DOC-FM): Simulating Flux Ropes with the Flux Rope Insertion Method (80133)
Edward DeLuca1, Kévin Dalmasse2, Antonia Stefanova Savcheva1, Sarah E Gibson3 and Yuhong Fan4, (1)Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States
Predicting Solar Filament Eruptions with HEK Filament Metadata (81266)
Ashna Aggarwal1, Katharine Reeves2 and Nicole Schanche2, (1)College of William and Mary, Physics, Williamsburg, VA, United States, (2)Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA, United States
Toward an Accurate Prediction of the Arrival Time of Geomagnetic-Effective Coronal Mass Ejections (59284)
Tong Shi1, Yikang Wang1, Linfeng Wan1, Xin Cheng1, Mingde Ding1 and Jie Zhang2, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)George Mason University, Department of Physics and Astronomy, Fairfax, United States
Comparison of Dst Index Coupling Functions (78323)
Hamood Al Saadi, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom and Richard Boynton, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, S10, United Kingdom
Kalman Filtering and Smoothing of the Van Allen Probes Observations to Estimate the Radial, Energy and Pitch Angle Diffusion Rates (79718)
Tatiana Podladchikova, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Skolkovo, Russia, Yuri Shprits, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States and Adam C Kellerman, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
LEO Plasma Modeling Augmented with in-situ measurements (82199)
Gabriel R Wilson, US Air Force Academy, Physics, USAF Academy, CO, United States, Robert K Schaefer, Applied Physics Laboratory Johns Hopkins, Laurel, MD, United States, Gary S Bust, John Hopkins University-Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States and Matthew G McHarg, United States Air Force Academy, Department of Physics, Colorado Springs, CO, United States

See more of: SPA-Solar and Heliospheric Physics