High-Resolution Regional Climate Downscaling for Engineering and Planning for Extremes

Abstract:

Acknowledging that all systems will eventually fail at some level enables us to incorporate the potential for failure as a key component of engineering design and planning. Thereby enabling researches to focus their research directions in a way that will provide regional stakeholders and policy makers with robust information for developing future mitigation and adaptation strategies.

In this presentation I will highlight our high-resolution dynamical and statistical climate downscaling to address key extreme events. An example will be tropical cyclones and how they will be impacted by climate change and variability. I then will expand on the use of a high-resolution Regional Climate Ensemble to investigate the limits of predictability of climate simulations. I also will address how we can employ statistical downscaling methods to directly assess and predict impact and damage potential from tropical cyclones.