Determinants of urban resource use and resilience: a comprehensive framework

Abstract:

During the past decades urbanization has proceeded at unprecedented – yet varied – rates across urban areas globally. The social and environmental transformations implied by urban development have put many regions at risk of transforming the very characteristics that make them attractive and healthy. Meanwhile, climate change is adding new sources of risk and an array of uncertainties to the mix. These changes create risks that vary according to the characteristics of the demographic, economic, ecological, built-environment (technological) and governance dimensions of urbanization and urban areas as socioecological systems.

However, few studies have explored the variation in these dimensions across urban areas. I will present a comprehensive analytical framework that explores, in urban areas, patterns of interplay, synergy and tradeoff between socio-demographic, economic, technological, ecological, and governance (SETEG) factors as they shape two issues, traditionally analyzed by separate disciplinary domains: resource use and resilience to climate hazards. Three questions guide this effort:

1) What indicators can be used to socio-demographic, economic, technological, ecological, and governance (SETEG) determinants of urban populations’ resource use and resilience to climate hazards?

2) What indicators are important?

3) What combinations (i.e., tradeoffs, synergies) of causal factors better explain urban populations’ resource use and resilience to hazards?

The interplay between these factors as they shape a population’s resource use and resilience is not exempted from synergies and tradeoffs that require careful analysis. Consider population density, a key indicator of urban form. Scholars have found that while more compact cities are more energy efficient and emit less GHG, heat stress is much worse in more compact cities. This begs the question of which combination of urban form factors need to be considered by urban planners when designing effective urban/environmental interventions. The framework, that builds on empirical work globally and in the cities of Buenos Aires, Mexico, Santiago and Mumbai, is intended to inform the design of more effective urban mitigation and adaptation policies.