Atmospheric Rivers Enhanced Water Delivery to Southwestern North America at the Last Glacial Maximum

Abstract:

Proxy reconstructions of the late Pleistocene paleoclimate indicate that southwestern North America was significantly more wet at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; ~21 ka) than in the present. Pluvial paleolakes were abundant throughout the Great Basin and as far south as the modern Mojave Desert. The source of precipitation that fed these lakes and the role of evaporation in the hydrologic balance are debated. A leading hypothesis is increased Pacific winter storm frequency as a result of the jet stream being split or shifted south by the North American ice sheets. Alternative hypotheses include enhanced monsoonal precipitation, a re-routing of the storm track across the continent, and/or reduced evaporation. Using LGM simulations from the PMIP3 ensemble and the LMDZ general circulation model, and comparing to proxy records of LGM precipitation in the region, we find that atmospheric rivers, narrow filaments of humid tropical air, were strengthened over the eastern Pacific during glacial intervals and directed into southern California. A strengthened Aleutian Low and a weakened North Pacific High produced a mean state conducive to this strong, south-shifted atmospheric river system, which enhanced moisture delivery into the southwestern part of the Great Basin.