Modeling the Evolution of Localized Strain in Orogenic Wedges: From Short-term Deformation to Long-term Tectonic States

Abstract:

Some of the most destructive earthquakes on Earth are associated with active orogenic wedges. Despite a sound understanding of the basic mechanics that govern whole wedge structure over geologic time scales and a growing body of studies that have characterized the deformation associated with historic to recent earthquakes, first order questions remain about the linkage of the two sets of processes at the intermediate seismotectonic timescales. Numerical models have the power to test the effects of specific mechanical conditions on the evolution of observables at active orogenic wedges. Here we use a two-dimensional, continuum mechanics-based, finite difference method with a visco-elasto-plastic rheology coupled with surface processes to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution of deformation during wedge growth. The model simulates the contraction of a crustal layer overlying a weak base (décollement) against a rigid backstop and the spontaneous nucleation and evolution of fault zones due to cohesive, Mohr-Coulomb failure with strain weakening. Consistent with critical wedge theory, the average slope across the wedge is controlled by the relative frictional strengths of the wedge and décollement. Initial calculations predict changes in wedge deformation on short geologic timescales (10³-10⁵yrs) that involve episodes of widening as new, foreland-verging thrusts nucleate near the surface beyond the wedge toe and propagate down-dip to intersect the décollement. All the while, the wedge thickens via slip on older, internal fault zones. The aim of this study is to identify the parameters controlling the timescales of 1) episodic widening versus thickening and 2) nucleation and life-span of individual fault zones. These are initial steps needed to link earthquake observations to the long-term tectonic states inferred at various orogenic belts around the world.