Using US Forest Inventory (FIA) Data to Test for Growth Enhancement

Abstract:

It is recognized that land ecosystems sequester a significant fraction of anthropogenic carbon emissions, and that the magnitude of the "land sink" appears to be increasing through time. This observation has led to the hypothesis that forest ecosystems are experiencing more rapid growth than their historical norm, due to some combination of CO₂ fertilization, longer growing seasons, nitrogen deposition, and more intensive management. Direct evidence for growth enhancment has been reported from experimental plots, where long-term (historical) rates of biomass accumulation appear lower than contemporary rates derived from remeasurement of individual trees. However, the approach has not been pursued at a national scale. Since the late 1990's the US Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program has standardized plot locations across the United States, and has systematically remeasured tree and plot attributes on 5-year (east) or 10-year (west) cycles. In principle, these remeasured plots provide a robust dataset for comparing contemporary and historical growth rates. In this talk we review approaches for performing this comparison at both plot and tree scales. We find that recent plot-level biomass accumulation rates from the eastern US do show more rapid growth than would be expected from historical biomass-age curves, with enhancement factors of up 2x. However, the implicit inclusion of "cryptic" or older disturbances in the historical curves hinders a definitive interpretation. Stand-level age-biomass simulations confirm that disturbance events must be included in the remeasured data set in order to provide comparability with historical curves. Remeasured DBH measurements from individual trees may provide a more robust approach for examining the issue.