Fast Risk Assessment Software For Natural Hazard Phenomena Using Georeference Population And Infrastructure Data Bases

Tuesday, 15 December 2015: 14:55
302 (Moscone South)
Jose Manuel Marrero1,2, Jacob Efren Pastor Paz2, Catalina Erazo2, Monica Marrero3, Jorge Aguilar1, Hugo A Yepes4, Carlos M Estrella2 and Patricia A Mothes5, (1)Instituto Geofísico, Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Volcanología, Quito, Ecuador, (2)Instituto Geográfico Militar, Unidad de Gestión, Investigación y Desarrollo, Quito, Ecuador, (3)Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain, (4)Instituto Geofisico EPN - Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador, (5)Instituto Geofisico, Quito, Ecuador
Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) requires an integrated multi-hazard assessment approach towards natural hazard mitigation. In the case of volcanic risk, long term hazard maps are generally developed on a basis of the most probable scenarios (likelihood of occurrence) or worst cases. However, in the short-term, expected scenarios may vary substantially depending on the monitoring data or new knowledge. In this context, the time required to obtain and process data is critical for optimum decision making.

Availability of up-to-date volcanic scenarios is as crucial as it is to have this data accompanied by efficient estimations of their impact among populations and infrastructure. To address this impact estimation during volcanic crises, or other natural hazards, a web interface has been developed to execute an ANSI C application. This application allows one to compute – in a matter of seconds – the demographic and infrastructure impact that any natural hazard may cause employing an overlay-layer approach. The web interface is tailored to users involved in the volcanic crises management of Cotopaxi volcano (Ecuador). The population data base and the cartographic basis used are of public domain, published by the National Office of Statistics of Ecuador (INEC, by its Spanish acronym).

To run the application and obtain results the user is expected to upload a raster file containing information related to the volcanic hazard or any other natural hazard, and determine categories to group population or infrastructure potentially affected. The results are displayed in a user-friendly report.