GC34A
Advancing Science of the Arctic System: Exploring the Past and Present to Predict the Future II

Wednesday, 16 December 2015: 16:00-18:00
3009 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Wieslaw Maslowski, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States
Conveners:  Scott Harper, Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA, United States, Philip W Jones, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Renu Joseph, Department of Energy Washington DC, Washington, DC, United States
Chairs:  Scott Harper, Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA, United States and Renu Joseph, Department of Energy Washington DC, Washington, DC, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Scott Harper, Office of Naval Research, Arlington, VA, United States
16:00
The Impact of Model Uncertainty on Seasonal Sea Ice Forecasts (Invited) (82184)
Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States
16:15
Simulation of Arctic climate with the Regional Arctic System Model (RASM): Sensitivity to atmospheric processes (Invited) (61199)
John J Cassano1, Alice Duvivier2, Andrew Roberts3, Mimi Hughes4, Mark W Seefeldt4, Anthony Craig5, William J Gutowski Jr6, Joseph Hamman7, Matthew Higgins8, Michael Brunke9, Brandon J Fisel6, Wieslaw Maslowski3, Bart Nijssen10, Robert Osinski11 and Xubin Zeng9, (1)Univ Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States, (4)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)Independent contractor with Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (6)Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States, (7)Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (8)NCAR, Leesburg, VA, United States, (9)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (10)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (11)The Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, Sopot, Poland
16:30
The Challenge of Clouds and Surface Energy Fluxes in the Coupled Arctic System (Invited) (82276)
Matthew Shupe, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
16:45
A Global Sensitivity Analysis of Arctic Sea Ice to Parameter Uncertainty in the CICE v5.1 Sea Ice Model (79270)
Jorge Rolando Urrego-Blanco1, Nathan M Urban1 and Elizabeth C Hunke2, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, T-3 Fluid Dynamics and Solid Mechanics Group, Los Alamos, NM, United States
17:00
Modeling the Seasonal Ice Zone from the Air: use of repeat aerial hydrographic surveys to constrain a regional ice-ocean model in an area of rapidly evolving ice cover (74113)
Sarah Dewey, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, James Morison, Polar Science Center, Seattle, WA, United States and Jinlun Zhang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
17:15
Modelling Sea Ice and Surface Wave Interactions in Polar Regions (72536)
Lucia Hosekova1, Yevgeny Aksenov1, Andrew Coward1, Timothy Williams2, Laurent Bertino2 and George Nurser1, (1)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, (2)Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway
17:30
Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry in a Global Ice-Ocean Ecosystem Model: A Look at Seasonal Features and Spatial Patterns (Invited) (72961)
Clara Deal1, Meibing Jin1, Scott Elliott2, Nicole Jeffery2, Nadja Steiner3, Lucy Carpenter4 and Rosie Chance5, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (3)CCCma, Victoria, BC, Canada, (4)University of York, York, YO10, United Kingdom, (5)University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom
17:45
Attribution of the Recent Winter Arctic warming and Sea-Ice Decline with Observation-based Data and Coupled Climate Model Simulations (81986)
Sukyoung Lee1, Doo-Sun Raphael Park2, Steven B Feldstein1 and Christian L. E. Franzke3, (1)Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States, (2)Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea, (3)University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany