GC52D
Toward Better Understanding of the Impacts of Climate Variability: From Ecosystem Processes to Agricultural Adaptation and Decision Making II

Friday, 18 December 2015: 10:20-12:20
3003 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Lyndon D Estes, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Conveners:  Amor V M Ines1, Jeffrey W Atkins2 and Erin Swails2, (1)Michigan State University, Departments of Plant, Soil and Micriobial Sciences, and Biosystems and Agricultural Engineering, East Lansing, MI, United States(2)University of Virginia Main Campus, Charlottesville, VA, United States
Chairs:  Jeffrey W Atkins, University of Virginia Main Campus, Charlottesville, VA, United States and Erin Swails, University of Virginia Main Campus, Charlottesville, VA, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Jeffrey W Atkins, University of Virginia Main Campus, Charlottesville, VA, United States
10:20
GC52D-01
Uncertainty Analysis of Coupled Socioeconomic-Cropping Models: Building Confidence in Climate Change Decision-Support Tools for Local Stakeholders (63360)
Marcela Rojas1, Julien Jean Malard1, Jan F Adamowski1, Juventino Gálvez2, Héctor Antonio Tuy2 and Hugo Melgar-Quiñonez1, (1)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Universidad Rafael Landívar, Institute of Agriculture, Nat. Resources and the Environment, Guatemala City, Guatemala
10:35
GC52D-02
Irrigated Agriculture in Morocco: An Agent-Based Model of Adaptation and Decision Making Amid Increasingly Frequent Drought Events (77036)
Michael Norton, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States
10:50
GC52D-03
Sources of Uncertainty in Modeling Ecosystem Responses to Environmental Change (Invited) (68503)
Sandy P Harrison, University of Reading, Geography and Environmental Sciences, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom
11:05
GC52D-04
Compounding nonlinearities in the climate and wildfire system contribute to high uncertainty in estimates of future burned area in the western United State (Invited) (74147)
Park Williams, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States
11:20
GC52D-05
Variability in reef connectivity in the Coral Triangle (80534)
Diane M Thompson1, J A Kleypas1, Frederic S Castruccio1, James R. Watson2 and Enrique N Curchitser3, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Stockholm University, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, Sweden, (3)Rutgers University New Brunswick, Department of Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
11:35
GC52D-06
Assessing the Risk of Ecosystem Disruption in Europe using a Dynamic Vegetation Model driven by CMIP5 Regional Climatic Projections from EURO-CORDEX (81653)
Marie Dury, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium; University of Liège, Astrophysics, Geophysics and Oceanography, Liège, Belgium
11:50
GC52D-07
Harnessing Historical Climate Variability to Assess Multivariate Climate Changes (74601)
Colin Raymond Mahony1, Alex J. Cannon2 and Sally N. Aitken1, (1)University of British Columbia, Forest and Conservation Sciences, Vancouver, BC, Canada, (2)Environment Canada, Climate Research Division, Climate Data and Analysis Section, Victoria, BC, Canada
12:05
GC52D-08
Assessing the Dynamic Effects of Climate on Individual Tree Growth Across Time and Space (73459)
Malcolm Itter, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
 
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