S21D
Paleoseismic and Numerical Estimates of Earthquake Recurrence Patterns: Exploring the Coefficient of Variability of Ground-Rupturing Earthquakes I

Tuesday, 15 December 2015: 08:00-10:00
302 (Moscone South)
Primary Conveners:  Glenn P Biasi, University of Nevada Reno, Reno, NV, United States
Conveners:  Katherine M Scharer, USGS Pasadena Field Office, Pasadena, CA, United States and Keith B Richards-Dinger, UC Riverside, Riverside, CA, United States
Chairs:  Katherine M Scharer, USGS Pasadena Field Office, Pasadena, CA, United States and Glenn P Biasi, University of Nevada Reno, Reno, NV, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Keith B Richards-Dinger, UC Riverside, Riverside, CA, United States
08:00
Insights on the Coefficient of Variability of Ground-Rupturing Earthquakes from the UCERF3 Time-Dependent Model (Invited) (73235)
Edward H Field, USGS, Denver, CO, United States and Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities
08:15
UCERF3 and Rupture Behavior of the San Jacinto Fault in Southern California (Invited) (68466)
Thomas K Rockwell, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States and Glenn P Biasi, University of Nevada Reno, Reno, NV, United States
08:30
Variability of recurrence interval for New Zealand surface-rupturing paleoearthquakes (78215)
Andy Nicol Prof, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand, Russell Robinson Jr, Inst Geological & Nuclear Sci, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, Russ James Van Dissen, GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand and Adrian Harvison, GNS Science, Taupo, New Zealand
08:45
Irregular earhquake recurrence patterns and slip variability on a plate-boundary Fault (Invited) (65969)
Neta Wechsler, Tel Aviv University, Department of Geophysics, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Tel Aviv, Israel, Thomas K Rockwell, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States and Yann Klinger, Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris, France
09:00
Spatial Distribution of the Coefficient of Variation for the Paleo-Earthquakes in Japan (73352)
Shunichi Nomura, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan and Yosihiko Ogata, Inst Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan
09:15
Supercycles and Synchronization Signatures in Synthetic Seismic Sequences (74372)
Kevin R Milner, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Thomas H Jordan, Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles, CA, United States
09:30
Patterns of Seismicity Characterizing the Earthquake Cycle (66313)
John B Rundle1, Donald L Turcotte2, Mark R. Yoder2, James R Holliday3, Kasey Schultz2, John Max Wilson2, Andrea Donnellan4 and Lisa Grant Ludwig5, (1)University of California Davis, Physics, Davis, CA, United States, (2)University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States, (3)University of California, Davis, CA, United States, (4)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (5)University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
09:45
Impact on Risk of Data-Constrained Inferences of the Variability of the Recurrence of Ground-Rupturing Earthquakes (Invited) (61121)
Delphine D Fitzenz and Marleen Nyst, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA, United States
 
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