S31B
Quantifying Uncertainty in Geophysical Methods: From Source to Structure II

Wednesday, 16 December 2015: 08:00-10:00
305 (Moscone South)
Primary Conveners:  Scott Burdick, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Conveners:  Tolulope M Olugboji, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Thomas Bodin, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
Chairs:  Scott Burdick1, Tolulope M Olugboji1 and Thomas Bodin2, (1)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States(2)University Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Villeurbanne, France
OSPA Liaisons:  Tolulope M Olugboji, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
08:00
Bringing a Bayesian Perspective to Large Dimensional Problems in Geophysics (Invited) (60990)
Zacharie Duputel, Institut de Physique du Globe de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France
08:15
Near-instantaneous Bayesian inversion and uncertainty estimation: Sampling from the prior (75537)
Andrew P Valentine, Paul Kaeufl and Jeannot Trampert, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584, Netherlands
08:30
08:45
Quantifying Uncertainty Across an Array of Seismic Applications (Invited) (66388)
Vedran Lekic1, Chao Gao2, Tolulope M Olugboji2 and Scott Burdick2, (1)University of Maryland College Park, Dept. of Geology, College Park, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
09:00
Resolution analysis of marine seismic full waveform data by Bayesian inversion (79891)
Anandaroop Ray, Anusha Sekar and Gary Michael Hoversten, Chevron Corporation Houston, Geophysical R&D, Houston, TX, United States
09:15
Metrics, Bayes, and BOGSAT: Recognizing and Assessing Uncertainties in Earthquake Hazard Maps (Invited) (67427)
Seth A Stein, Northwestern Univ, Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States, Edward Brooks, Northwestern University, Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States and Bruce D. Spencer, Northwestern University, Department of Statistics and Institute for Policy Research, Evanston, IL, United States
09:30
Three Ingredients for Improved Global Aftershock Forecasts: Tectonic Region, Time-Dependent Catalog Incompleteness, and Inter-Sequence Variability (70162)
Morgan T Page, USGS Pasadena Field Office, Pasadena, CA, United States, Jeanne Hardebeck, USGS, Baltimore, MD, United States, Karen R Felzer, USGS, Pasadena, CA, United States and Andrew Jay Michael, USGS California Water Science Center Menlo Park, Menlo Park, CA, United States
09:45
Probabilistic Tsunami-Source Estimation with Parsimonious Rupture Kinematics (78811)
Jan Dettmer, Phil R Cummins and MD Jakir Hossen, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
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