H12F
Hydroclimatic Extremes: Drought II

Monday, 14 December 2015: 10:20-12:20
2022-2024 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
Conveners:  Li-Chuan Chen, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States and Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland, OR, United States
Chairs:  Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States, Li-Chuan Chen, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland, OR, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Shahrbanou Madadgar, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
10:20
H12F-01
The Physics of Great Plains Drought, Its Predictability, and Its Changed Risk in a Warming World (Invited) (59460)
Martin P Hoerling, NOAA, ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States and Ben Livneh, University of Colorado Boulder, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boulder, CO, United States
10:35
H12F-02
Why Different Drought Indexes Show Distinct Future Drought Risk Outcomes in the U.S. Great Plains? (66207)
Michael J Hayes, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States, Song Feng, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, United States and Miroslav Trnka, Mendel University, Institute of Agriculture Systems and Bioclimatology, Brno, Czech Republic
10:50
H12F-03
Warm Season Drought Development over North America and Northern Eurasia: The Role of Stationary Rossby Waves (Invited) (58582)
Hailan Wang, SSAI, Hampton, VA, United States, Siegfried D Schubert, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Randal D Koster, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, MD, United States
11:05
H12F-04
Evaluating the Potential Use of Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture Data for Agricultural Drought Risk Monitoring (60443)
Hongxiang Yan and Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland, OR, United States
11:20
H12F-05
Propagation of model and forcing uncertainty into hydrological drought characteristics in a multi-model century-long experiment in continental river basins (59428)
Luis E Samaniego1, Rohini Kumar1, David Schaefer2, Shaochun Huang3, Tao Yang4, Vimal Mishra5, Stephanie Eisner6, Tobias Vetter3, Ilias Pechlivanidis7, Stefan Liersch3, Martina Flörke6 and Valentina Krysanova3, (1)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, (2)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Leipzig, Germany, (3)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (4)College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing, China, (5)Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, India, (6)University of Kassel, Kassel, Germany, (7)SMHI, Thessaloniki, Greece
11:35
H12F-06
Probabilistic Assessment of Meteorological Drought Risk over the Canadian Prairie Provinces Based on the NARCCAP multi-RCM Ensemble (70650)
Mohammad Badrul Masud1, Naveed Khaliq1,2, Howard S. Wheater3 and Elvis Zilefac3, (1)University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (2)National Research Council, Ocean, Coastal and River Engineering, Ottawa, ON, Canada, (3)University of Saskatchewan, Global Institute for Water Security, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
11:50
H12F-07
Comparison of Bootstrapping and Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Copula Analysis of Hydrological Droughts (67225)
Pan Yang and Tze Ling Ng, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
12:05
H12F-08
Using Search Algorithms and Probabilistic Graphical Models to Understand the Influence of Atmospheric Circulation on Western US Drought  (76153)
Steven B Malevich, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
 
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