H31M
Predictions, Models, and Hydrological Information: How Much Certainty Should We Expect in an Uncertain World? I

Wednesday, 16 December 2015: 08:00-10:00
3016 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Jim E Freer, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
Conveners:  Tianfang Xu, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, Doerthe Tetzlaff, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom and Grey S Nearing, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chairs:  Jim E Freer, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom and Grey S Nearing, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Doerthe Tetzlaff, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom
08:00
H31M-01
Channelling information flows from observation to decision; or how to increase certainty (Invited) (60401)
Steven V Weijs, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland; University of British Columbia, Civil Engineering, Vancouver, BC, Canada
08:15
H31M-02
On the Usefulness of Hydrologic Landscapes for Hydrologic Model Calibration and Selection (82314)
Keith A Sawicz, Environmental Protection Agency Corvallis, Corvallis, OR, United States
08:30
H31M-03
The Scientific Method, Diagnostic Bayes, and How to Detect Epistemic Errors (86581)
Jasper A Vrugt, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States
08:45
H31M-04
On the Impact of Uncertainty in Initial Conditions of Hydrologic Models on Prediction (81930)
Razi Sheikholeslami and Saman Razavi, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
09:00
H31M-05
Hydrological Uncertainty in Practice: Reasons to be Cheerful (Invited) (59540)
Hilary K McMillan, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), Christchurch, New Zealand
09:15
H31M-06
An Approach for Including Uncertainty in Integrated Water Resources Assessments within Large River Basins of Southern Africa. (71673)
Denis Hughes, Rhodes University, Grahamstown, South Africa
09:30
H31M-07
Using High Resolution Tracer Data to Constrain Storage and Flux Estimates in a Spatially Distributed Rainfall-runoff Model (63907)
Marjolein Van Huijgevoort1, Doerthe Tetzlaff1, Edwin Sutanudjaja2 and Chris Soulsby1, (1)University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom, (2)Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584, Netherlands
09:45
H31M-08
Information, Predictability and Fitness for Purpose (Invited) (60283)
Keith Beven, Uppsala University, Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden; Lancaster University, Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster, United Kingdom
 
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