A51V
Polar Climate and Predictability I

Friday, 18 December 2015: 08:00-10:00
3008 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Hansi Alice Singh, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
Conveners:  Judy R Twedt, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, Graham Robert Simpkins, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States and Brian E J Rose, University at Albany, Albany, NY, United States
Chairs:  Hansi Alice Singh, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States and Brian E J Rose, University at Albany State University of New York, Albany, NY, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Hansi Alice Singh, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
08:00
Welcoming Remarks
08:03
A51V-01
Local and Non-⁠local Mechanisms of Polar Amplification (Invited) (60110)
Vladimir A Alexeev, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States and Craig H Jackson, Ohio Wesleyan University, Delaware, OH, United States
08:15
A51V-02
Assessing The Impact of SST Anomalies on Polar Climate Using Global Teleconnection Operators from Multiple Models Uncertainties (67518)
Chii-Yun Tsai and Chris E Forest, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States
08:27
A51V-03
Extreme moisture transport into the Arctic (Invited) (59649)
Elizabeth A Barnes1, Chengji Liu1 and Bryan D Mundhenk2, (1)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)Colorado State University, Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States
08:39
Questions & Discussion 1
08:47
A51V-04
Improving Sea Ice Prediction in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Model (64494)
Thomas W Collow, INNOVIM, LLC | NOAA/NWS/NCEP Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States, Wanqiu Wang, CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, College Park, MD, United States and Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States
08:59
A51V-05
Recent Seasonal Forecast Skill in a Sea-Ice Prediction System. Have We Entered a Period of Inherently Low Predictability? (Invited) (82183)
Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States
09:11
Questions & Discussion 2
09:16
A51V-06
Insights on Antarctic climate variability from paleo-temperature proxies (Invited) (61827)
Anais J Orsi, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, Amaelle Landais, LSCE, Gif Sur Yvette, France, Barbara Stenni, University of Venice, Venice, Italy and Jeffrey P Severinghaus, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
09:28
A51V-07
Spatial patterns of Antarctic surface temperature trends in the context of natural variability: Lessons from the CMIP5 Models (62623)
Karen L Smith, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States and Lorenzo M Polvani, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
09:40
A51V-08
Southern Ocean Cooling in a Warming World: Reassessing the Role of Westerly Winds (79397)
Yavor Krasimirov Kostov1, Kyle Armour2, Ute Hausmann3 and John Marshall1, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA, United States
09:52
Questions & Discussion 3
 
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