A23M
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation Continuum I

Tuesday, 15 December 2015: 13:40-15:40
3005 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Pedro N Di Nezio, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States
Conveners:  Michelle L L'heureux, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD, United States, Kristopher B Karnauskas, Woods Hole Oceanographic Inst, Woods Hole, MA, United States and Kathleen Pegion, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Chairs:  Pedro N Di Nezio, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States and Michelle L L'heureux, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Pedro N Di Nezio, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States
13:40
Diagnosing Changes in ENSO Variability and Predictability from Observations and Models (85903)
Matthew Newman, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
13:55
A New Perspective on El Niño Diversity and Its Genesis (Invited) (67853)
Dake Chen, Second Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanographic Administration of China, Hangzhou, China
14:10
Revisiting ENSO Coupled Instability Theory and SST Error Growth in a Fully Coupled Model (Invited) (62614)
Sarah Larson and Ben P Kirtman, University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL, United States
14:25
El Niño Regimes, Nonlinear Convective Feedbacks and the Predictability of Extreme Events (Invited) (80682)
Ken Takahashi, Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Variabilidad y Cambio Climatico, Lima, Peru
14:40
The importance of ENSO Nonlinearities in Tropical Pacific Response to External Forcing. (68663)
Christina Karamperidou1, Fei-Fei Jin1 and Jessica L Conroy2, (1)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, (2)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States
14:55
Holocene constraints on simulated tropical Pacific climate  (Invited) (58592)
Julien Emile-Geay, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States
15:10
Impacts of multi-year La Niña events on persistent drought conditions over the southern US (69939)
Yuko Okumura, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, Pedro N Di Nezio, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States and Clara Deser, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
15:25
Springtime ENSO Flavors and Their Impacts on US Regional Tornado Outbreaks (78878)
Sang-Ki Lee1, Andrew Thorne Wittenberg2, David Bruce Enfield1, Scott J Weaver3, Chunzai Wang4 and Robert M Atlas4, (1)University of Miami, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Miami, FL, United States, (2)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Environmental Defense Fund DC, Washington, DC, United States, (4)NOAA Miami, Miami, FL, United States
 
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