OS51C
Enhancing Our Understanding, Monitoring, and Forecasting of the 2014-2015 El Nino and Its Relationship with the Record Warming in the North Pacific I

Friday, 18 December 2015: 08:00-10:00
3009 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Yan Xue, Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Conveners:  Arthur J Miller, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States, Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States and Jin-Yi Yu, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
Chairs:  Yan Xue, Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Arthur J Miller, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA, United States
OSPA Liaisons:  Jin-Yi Yu, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
08:00
OS51C-01
Anomalous Ocean Warming off the U.S. West Coast in 2014 and its Impacts on Marine Ecosystem and Seabird (79668)
Yi Chao1, John D Farrara1, Eric Bjorkstedt2, Wendy Enright3, Jennifer L. Fisher4 and William T Peterson5, (1)Remote Sensing Solutions, Inc., Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)Fisheries Ecology Division, SWFSC, NMFS, NOAA, Humboldt, CA, United States, (3)City of San Diego Ocean Monitoring Program, San Diego, CA, United States, (4)Oregon State University, Newport, OR, United States, (5)NOAA, Newport, OR, United States
08:15
OS51C-02
Harmful Algal Bloom Hotspots Really Are Hot: A Case Study from Monterey Bay, California (79691)
Raphael Martin Kudela1, Clarissa Anderson2, James M Birch3, Holly Bowers4, David A Caron5, Yi Chao6, Greg Doucette7, John D Farrara8, Alyssa Gellene5, Kendra Negrey2, Meredith D Howard9, John Phillip Ryan3, Chris A Scholin3, Jason Smith10, Jayme Smith5 and Gaurav Sukhatme5, (1)University of California Santa Cruz, Ocean Sciences, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (2)University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (3)Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute, Watsonville, CA, United States, (4)Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute, Moss Landing, CA, United States, (5)University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (6)Remote Sensing Solutions, Inc., Sierra Madre, CA, United States, (7)NOAA Charleston, Charleston, SC, United States, (8)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (9)Southern California Coastal Water Research Project, Costa Mesa, CA, United States, (10)Moss Landing Marine Laboratories, Moss Landing, CA, United States
08:30
OS51C-03
How well did we predict the 2014 and 2015 Evolution of El Niño? (Invited) (60837)
Michelle L L'heureux, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, College Park, MD, United States
08:45
OS51C-04
A Review of Real-Time Markov Model ENSO Forecast in 1996-2015: Why did it Forecast a Strong El Nino since March 2015? (63661)
Yan Xue, Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States
09:00
OS51C-05
Playing Hide and Seek with El Niño (Invited) (70431)
Michael J McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA, United States
09:15
OS51C-06
An Exceptionally Strong Easterly Wind Burst Stalling El Niño of 2014 (76396)
Shineng Hu and Alexey V Fedorov, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States
09:30
OS51C-07
How Well Did Measurements of Sea Surface Temperature, Rainfall, Phytoplankton Abundance and Walker Circulation Winds in the 2014-2015 El Niño Match Similar Observations Recorded in the Four Previous El Niño Events Since the 1997-1998 El Niño Event? (76823)
David Halpern, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
09:45
OS51C-08
Precursors of ENSO Events from 27 Years of Satellite Data (68057)
Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA Boulder, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States; University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States and Lucrezia Ricciardulli, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA, United States
 
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