H52A
Advances in Hydrometeorological Extremes Forecasting: Estimation, Integrated Risk Analysis, and Applications II

Friday, 18 December 2015: 10:20-12:20
3020 (Moscone West)
Primary Conveners:  Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Conveners:  Andrew W Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Paulin DL Coulibaly, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada and Chandra S Pathak, United States Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrology, Hydraulics and Coastal Community of Practice, Washington DC, DC, United States
Chairs:  Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, Andrew W Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland, OR, United States and Paulin DL Coulibaly, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada
OSPA Liaisons:  Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
10:20
National Weather Service (NWS) Implementation of the Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (65424)
Robert K Hartman1, Mark A Fresch2 and Ernie Wells2, (1)National Weather Service Sacramento, Sacramento, CA, United States, (2)NOAA, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States
10:35
Operational, hyper-resolution hydrologic modeling over the contiguous U.S. using themulti-scale, multi-physics WRF-Hydro Modeling and Data Assimilation System. (Invited) (71406)
David J Gochis1, Brian Cosgrove2, Wei Yu1, Edward P Clark2, David N Yates3, Aubrey L Dugger1, James L McCreight1, Linlin Pan4, Yongxin Zhang5, Arezoo rafeei-Nasab1, Logan R Karsten1, Donald W Cline6, Kevin Michael Sampson1, Andrew James Newman7, Andrew Wood1 and Minna Win-Gildenmeister1, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Weather Service Silver Spring, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (3)University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Denver, CO, United States, (4)National Ctr Atmospheric Res, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)NCAR-Rsrch Applications Lab, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)Office of Hydrologic Development, Hydrology Laboratory, NOAA-NWS, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (7)University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
10:50
Examining the Role Played by Meteorological Ensemble Forecasts, Ensemble Kalman Filter Streamflow Assimilation, and Multiple Hydrological Models within a Prediction System Accounting for Three Sources of Uncertainty (Invited) (59801)
Francois Anctil1, Antoine Thiboult1 and Marie-Amelie Boucher2, (1)Laval University, Quebec City, QC, Canada, (2)Universite du Quebec a Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC, Canada
11:05
Is the likelihood of getting a flood increased by higher than usual flows in the previous months? (65924)
Alberto Montanari1, Cristina Aguilar2 and Maria J. Polo2, (1)University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy, (2)University of Granada, Fluvial Dynamics and Hydrology Research Group, Andalusian Institute of Earth System Research, Granada, Spain
11:20
Seasonal Scale Water Deficit Forecasting in East Africa and the Middle East Region Using the NMME Models Forecasts (70033)
Shraddhanand Shukla1, Chris C Funk2, Benjamin F Zaitchik3, Bala Narapusetty4, Kristi R Arsenault5 and Christa D Peters-Lidard5, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (2)University of California Santa Barbara, Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (3)Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States, (4)NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (5)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
11:35
How can we best use climate information and hydrologic initial conditions to improve seasonal streamflow forecasts? (70592)
Pablo A. Mendoza1, Andrew W Wood1, Eric Rothwell2, Martyn P Clark1, Levi D Brekke3 and J R Arnold4, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, River and Reservoir Operations, Boise, ID, United States, (3)Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Denver, CO, United States, (4)US Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville, FL, United States
11:50
Sensitivity of Extreme Hydrological Events to Spatial Resolution of Climate Forcings using a Macro-Scale Hydrologic Model (72867)
Bibi S Naz1, Shih-Chieh Kao2, Moetasim Ashfaq1, Deeksha Rastogi1, Rui Mei3 and Sudershan Gangrade2,3, (1)Oak Ridge National Lab, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
12:05
Entropy-based snow network design for spring peak flow forecasting (61416)
Jongho Keum, McMaster University, Civil Engineering, Hamilton, ON, Canada, Paulin DL Coulibaly, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada and Dominique Tapsoba, Institut de Recherche d'Hydro-Quebec (IREQ), Varennes, QC, Canada
 
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