Intelligent Decisions Need Intelligent Choice of Models and Data - a Bayesian Justifiability Analysis for Models with Vastly Different Complexity

Wolfgang Nowak, University of Stuttgart, Department of Stochastic Simulation and Safety Research for Hydrosystems (IWS/SC SimTech), Stuttgart, Germany, Anneli Guthke, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany, Thomas Wöhling, Dresden University of Technology, Chair of Hydrology, Dresden, Germany and Walter A Illman, University of Waterloo, Department of Earth & Environmental Sciences, Waterloo, ON, Canada
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