Improving Forecasts Through Realistic Uncertainty Estimates: A Novel Data Driven Method for Model Uncertainty Quantification in Data Assimilation

Sahani Darshika Pathiraja1, Hamid Moradkhani2, Lucy Amanda Marshall1, Ashish Sharma3 and Gery Geenens4, (1)University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (2)Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States, (3)University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (4)University of New South Wales, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Sydney, Australia