Do climate model predictions agree with long-term precipitation trends in the arid southwestern United States?

Emile Elias1,2, Albert Rango3, Darren James3, Connie Maxwell2, John Anderson4 and John T Abatzoglou5, (1)US Department of Agriculture, Las Cruces, NM, United States, (2)US Department of Agriculture, Southwest Climate Hub, Las Cruces, NM, United States, (3)USDA ARS, Las Cruces, NM, United States, (4)New Mexico State University Main Campus, Las Cruces, NM, United States, (5)University of California Merced, Merced, United States