NH31A:
Extreme Sea Levels and Coastal Risks in a Changing Climate III Posters

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Session ID#: 12431

Session Description:
Coastal flooding can have devastating impacts with wide ranging social, economic, and environmental consequences. Recent significant events, like Cyclone Xynthia on the French Atlantic coast, Hurricane Sandy in New Jersey, Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines, Cyclone Xaver in the North Sea, and Tropical Cyclone Winston in Fiji have dramatically emphasized the vulnerability of low-lying densely populated coastlines. In order to plan effective adaptation to coastal flooding hazards it is essential to improve understanding of extreme sea level and wave events and the associated impacts, exploiting both observational and modeling data sets. This session seeks contributions from studies that have: examined changes in extreme sea levels and waves including the role of climate change and variability; undertaken statistical analyses of extreme water levels; assessed the various types of impacts (e.g., inundation, erosion, ecosystem degradation); or taken an integrated approach toward analyzing the vulnerability of complex coastal systems to extreme sea levels.
Primary Convener:  Thomas Wahl, University of Southampton, Engineering and the Envrionment, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom; University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States
Conveners:  Ivan David Haigh, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom, Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States and William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
Chairs:  Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States and William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
OSPA Liaison:  William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
Co-Organized with:
Ocean Sciences, and Ocean Sciences

Cross-Listed:
  • OS - Ocean Sciences

Proposed Co-Organized Session with:
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

1641 Sea level change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4328 Risk [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4546 Nearshore processes [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Probabilistic Storm Surge Hazard Assessment in the French West Indies (127492)
Yann Krien1, Bernard Dudon2, Jean Roger3, Narcisse Zahibo2 and Gael Arnaud2, (1)LIENSs, UMR 7266, La Rochelle, France, (2)University of the French West Indies, Pointe a Pitre, France, (3)Self Employed, Washington, DC, United States
Increasing extreme water level flood risk as a result of future sea-level rise: A case study on a coastal city in China (128333)
Aiqing Feng and Shaohong Wu, IGSNRR Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, China
Storm Surge reconstruction in Southeast Asia with an analysis of changes in extreme events in the 20th Century (131581)
Alba Cid Carrera, University of South Florida Tampa, Tampa, FL, United States and Don P Chambers, University of South Florida Tampa, College of Marine Science, Tampa, FL, United States
Possibility Of Generating Significant Storm Surge On The Western Seaboard Of Metro Manila, Philippines (133416)
John Kenneth Belena Suarez1, Joy Toriol Santiago2, Judd Pe Tablazon3, Lea Lara Dasallas4, Prince Garnett Goting3 and Alfredo mahar Amante Lagmay3, (1)National Institute of Geological Sciences, University of the Philippines, Quezon City, Philippines, (2)University of the Philippines, Quezon City, Philippines, (3)Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards, Quezon City, Philippines, (4)UP Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards Center, Quezon City, Philippines
Bounding probabilistic sea-level rise projections under the IPCC constraints (137834)
Goneri Le Cozannet, BRGM, Orléans, France, Jean-Charles Manceau, BRGM, Orleans, France and Jeremy Rohmer, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States
How marine submersions can be recorded in coastal marshes not bounded by a coarse sediment barrier? (140855)
Juliette Baumann1, Eric Chaumillon1, Jean Luc Schneider2, Sabine Schmidt2, Frans Jorissen3 and Jérome Bonnin2, (1)University of La Rochelle, LIENSs - UMR 7266, La Rochelle, France, (2)University of Bordeaux 1, EPOC - UMR CNRS 5805, Talence, France, (3)University of Angers, LPG-BIAF UMR CNRS 6112, Angers Cedex, France
Contrasting washover deposits laid down during the winter 2013-2014 cluster of storms : examples from SW France (140883)
Eric Chaumillon1,2, Juliette Baumann2, Jean-Luc Schneider3, Xavier Bertin4 and Myriam Schmutz5, (1)University of La Rochelle, LIENSs - UMR 7266, La Rochelle, France, (2)University of La Rochelle, La Rochelle, France, (3)University of Bordeaux 1, UMR 5805 EPOC, Talence, France, (4)Université de La Rochelle, La Rochelle, France, (5)University of Bordeaux 1, EA Géoressources et Environnement, Talence, France
Future Flood Inundation and Damages from Storm Surge in the Coast of Virginia and Maryland with Projected Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Scenarios (142972)
Ali Mohammad Rezaie, George Mason University, Department of Civil, Environmental and Infrastructure Engineering, Fairfax, VA, United States, Celso Ferreira, George Mason University, Department of Civil, Environmental and Infrastructure Engineering, Fairfax, United States and Margaret A. Walls, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States
Extreme storms, sea level rise, and coastal change: implications for infrastructure reliability in the Gulf of Mexico (143676)
Katherine Anarde1, Sabarethinam Kameshwar1, Nicholas Irza2, Jorge Lorenzo-Trueba3, Jeffrey A Nittrouer4, Jamie Padgett1 and Philip B Bedient1, (1)Rice University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX, United States, (2)Rice University, Houston, TX, United States, (3)University of Florida, Geological Sciences, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, (4)Texas Tech University, Department of Geosciences, Lubbock, United States
Sedimentological characteristics of the 2015 Tropical Cyclone Pam overwash deposits from Vanuatu, South Pacific (143846)
Isabel Hong1, Jessica Pilarczyk2, Benjamin Peter Horton3, Hermann M Fritz4, Thomas Jaroslaw Kosciuch5, Davin J Wallace6, Clayton Dike7, Allan Rarai8, Morris J Harrison8 and Fred R Jockley8, (1)Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (2)University of Southern Mississippi, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (3)Rutgers University New Brunswick, Marine and Coastal Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (4)Georgia Institute of Technology Main Campus, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Atlanta, GA, United States, (5)University of Southern Mississippi, School of Ocean Science and Technology, Division of Marine Science, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (6)University of Southern Mississippi, Department of Marine Science, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (7)University of Southern Mississippi, School of Ocean Science and Engineering, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (8)Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department, Port Vila, Vanuatu
Using recent hurricanes and associated event layers to evaluate regional storm impacts on estuarine-wetland systems (149302)
Christopher G. Smith1, Marci E. Marot2, Lisa E. Osterman2, Charles Scott Adams2,3, Christian Haller2,4 and Miriam Jones5, (1)USGS Coastal and Marine Science Center St. Petersburg, Coastal and Marine Science Center, St Petersburg, United States, (2)U.S Geological Survey, Coastal and Marine Science Center, Saint Petersburg, FL, United States, (3)University of North Carolina at Wilmington, Geosciences, Wilmington, NC, United States, (4)University of South Florida St. Petersburg, College of Marine Sciences, St Petersburg, FL, United States, (5)U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, United States
Island Economic Vulnerability to Natural Disasters—the case of Changdao (153947)
Zhiwei Zhang, First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao, China
Korean mean and extreme sea levels projection under AR5 climate change scenarios using Monte-Carlo simulations (155046)
Woo young Cha1, Jeonghyeon Choi2, Okjeong Lee1, Yoonkyung Park1, Jeonghoon Lee3 and Sangdan Kim4, (1)Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea, (3)Pukyong National University, Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Busan, Korea, Republic of (South), (4)Pukyong National University, Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Busan, South Korea
How Historical Information Can Improve Extreme Value Analysis of Coastal Water Levels (155987)
Thomas Bulteau1, Déborah Idier2, Jérôme Lambert3, Manuel Garcin4 and Goneri Le Cozannet3, (1)BRGM French Geological Survey, Pessac, France, (2)BRGM, 3 avenue Claude Guillemin, F-45060 Orléans, France, Orléans, France, (3)BRGM, Orléans, France, (4)French Geological Survey, Orléans, France
Attribution of the 1995 and 2006 storm surge events in the southern Baltic Sea (157451)
Katharina Klehmet1, Burkhardt Rockel1 and Hans von Storch2, (1)Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany, (2)Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Institute of Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany
Analyzing Flood Vulnerability Due to Sea Level Rise Using K-Means Clustering: Implications for Regional Flood Mitigation Planning (164072)
Michelle Hummel1, Nathan J Wood2, Mark T Stacey3, Amy Schweikert2, Patrick Barnard4 and Li H Erikson5, (1)University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX, United States, (2)U.S. Geological Survey, Western Geographic Science Center, Portland, OR, United States, (3)University of California Berkeley, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, United States, (4)U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, United States, (5)U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA, United States
Increasing mean sea level and decreasing storminess: a multi-model and multi-scenario estimate of contrasting factors that will affect the Mediterranean coastline in the 21st century (164105)
Piero Lionello1, Dario Conte2, Luigi Marzo1, Luca Scarascia2 and Roberta D'Agostino1, (1)University of Salento, Lecce, Italy, (2)CMCC Salento, Lecce, Italy
Can a city combat sea level rise alone: the impact of higher seawalls on the neighbors? (166223)
Ruo-Qian Wang, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Mark T Stacey, Univ California Berkeley, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Berkeley, United States, Liv Herdman, USGS New York Water Science Center, Coram, NY, United States, Michelle Hummel, University of Texas at Arlington, Arlington, TX, United States, Li H Erikson, USGS Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, CA, United States and Patrick Barnard, USGS California Water Science Center San Diego, Santa Cruz, United States
Improving the Predictability of Severe Water Levels along the Coasts of Marginal Seas (169805)
Nina Nadine Ridder1, Hylke de Vries2, Henk van den Brink1 and Hans De Vries1, (1)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, R&D Weer- en Klimaatmodellen, De Bilt, Netherlands, (2)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands
Sedimentological recorders of the 2013 Typhoon Haiyan storm surge from contrasting Philippine coastal landscapes (170513)
Janneli Lea Soria, Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore; Nanyang Technological University, Asian School of the Environment, Singapore, Singapore, Adam D Switzer, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, Fernando Pascual Siringan, Marine Science Institute, University of the Philippines, Metro Manila, Philippines, Jessica Pilarczyk, University of Southern Mississippi, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Linlin Li, Nanyang Technological University, Earth Observatory of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
Location, location, location! Regional differences in morphologic and hydrodynamic controls on extreme total water levels along the West Coast of the United States (170670)
Katherine Serafin1, Peter Ruggiero2, Hilary F Stockdon3, Patrick Barnard4 and Joseph Long3, (1)University of Florida, Department of Geography, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, (2)Oregon State University, College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Corvallis, United States, (3)U.S. Geological Survey, Coastal and Marine Science Center, St Petersburg, FL, United States, (4)U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, United States
Future Projection of Storm Surge at Tokyo Bay under RCP 8.5 Scenario by Meteorological-Ocean-Tide Coupled Model (171529)
Takumu Iwamoto1, Ryota Nakamura2, Tomohiro Takagawa1 and Tomoya Shibayama3, (1)Port and Airport Research Institute, Kanagawa, Japan, (2)Niigata University, Civil Engineering, Niigata, Japan, (3)Waseda University, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Tokyo, Japan
Understanding extreme sea levels for coastal impact and adaptation analysis (172300)
Thomas Wahl1,2, Ivan David Haigh3, Robert J J Nicholls4, Arne Arns5, Jochen Hinkel6, Sönke Dangendorf5 and Aimee Slangen7, (1)University of Southampton, Engineering and the Envrionment, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom, (2)University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, FL, United States, (3)University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom, (4)University of East Anglia, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, United Kingdom, (5)University of Siegen, Research Institute for Water and Environment, Siegen, Germany, (6)Global Climate Forum, Berlin, Germany, (7)CSIRO Hobart, Hobart, Australia
Statistical analysis of the extreme values of dynamic sea level by spatial interpolation for a beach of the Mediterranean French coast (174077)
Xavier Kergadallan and Nathalie Metzler Sr., Cerema, Plouzane, France
Assessing a 1500-year record of Atlantic hurricane activity from South Andros Island, the Bahamas, using modeled hurricane climatology (176866)
Elizabeth Jane Wallace, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, United States, Jeffrey P Donnelly, WHOI, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States, Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, Charlotte Wiman, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, United States, Peter J. van Hengstum, Woods Hole Oceanographic Inst, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Richard Sullivan, WHOI, Woods Hole, United States and Tyler Scott Winkler, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States
Ocean waves from tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico and the effect of climate change (177844)
Christian Mario Appendini1, Adrián Pedrozo-Acuña2, Rafael Meza-Padilla2, Alec Torres-Freyermuth1, Ruth Cerezo-Mota3 and José López-González4, (1)National Autonomous University of Mexico, Ciudad DE Armería, Mexico, (2)UNAM National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico, (3)UNAM National Autonomous University of Mexico, Instituto de Ingeniería, LIPC, Mexico City, Mexico, (4)Laboratorio de Ingenieria y Procesos Costeros, Instituto de Ingenieria, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Sisal, Mexico
Framing 100-year overflowing and overtopping marine submersion hazard resulting from the propagation of 100-year joint hydrodynamic conditions (180181)
Alexandre Nicolae Lerma1, Thomas Bulteau2, Sylvain Elineau3, Francois Paris1 and Rodrigo Pedreros4, (1)BRGM French Geological Survey, Orleans, France, (2)BRGM French Geological Survey, Pessac, France, (3)Laboratoire de Geographie Physique, Meudon, France, (4)BRGM, Orléans, France
Future Wave Conditions of North West Europe, in Response to High-end Climate Change Scenarios (181329)
Judith Wolf, National Oceanography Center, Liverpool, United Kingdom and Lucy Bricheno, National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom
Impact of Sea Level Rise on Storm Surge and Inundation in the Northern Gulf of Mexico (181836)
Jayaram Veeramony, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, United States
Assessing the Rapid Growth of Expected Coastal Flood Exposure Due to Sea Level Rise (181938)
Scott Andrew Kulp and Ben Strauss, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
A Near-Annual Record of Hurricane Activity From the Little Bahama Bank Over the Last 700 Years (182918)
Tyler Scott Winkler, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States, Peter J. van Hengstum, Texas A&M University at Galveston, Marine and Coastal Environmental Science, Galveston, United States, Jeffrey P Donnelly, WHOI, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States, Richard Sullivan, Texas A&M University at Galveston, Galveston, TX, United States and Nancy A. Albury, Antiquities, Monuments, and Museums Corporation/National Museum of The Bahamas, Nassau, Bahamas
Modeling Non-linear Ocean Wave Amplification in Coastal Settings (188013)
Joshua P Harringmeyer1, Rónadh Cox2, Joseph Brennan3, Colm Clancy3, James Herterich3 and Frederic Dias3, (1)Williams College, Geosciences, Williamstown, MA, United States, (2)Williams College, Geosciences, Williamstown, United States, (3)University College Dublin, Earth Institute, Dublin, Ireland
Validated Wave and Sea Level Rise Flood Modeling (193614)
Timu Gallien, University of California Los Angeles, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Los Angeles, United States
Storminess trends in the Gulf and Mexican Caribbean (195081)
Ernesto Tonatiuh Mendoza1, Elena Ojeda2 and Christian Mario Appendini1, (1)National Autonomous University of Mexico, Ciudad DE Armería, Mexico, (2)Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Institute of Engineering, Sisal, YC, Mexico
Subtidal Bathymetric Changes by Shoreline Armoring Removal and Restoration Projects (199475)
Julia Wallace, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Oceanography, Seattle, WA, United States

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