A23G:
Grand Challenges in Earth System Modeling: Decadal Climate Variability and Change, Prediction, and Its Applications II Posters

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Session ID#: 12514

Session Description:
Over past several decades, regions across the globe have experienced substantial climate variability and change, such as warming surface temperature, prolonged droughts, increased frequency of floods; such changes have profound impacts on the human, ecological, and physical systems.   Despite considerable improvements in Earth System models, accurately simulating and predicting global and regional climate variability at interannual, decadal and centennial scales remains a grand challenge.  This session welcomes contributions on the development and application of the new-generation Earth System models to study the interactions and feedbacks between meteorological, oceanic, cryospheric, hydrological, biogeochemical, ecological, and aerosol processes from global to regional scales. Results on the prediction and predictability on decadal time scales associated with the ocean and land memory and on the impacts of climate variability and change on agricultural and other human activities are encouraged.  This cross-cutting session will report both on state-of-the-art achievements as well as future opportunities and challenges
Primary Convener:  Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Conveners:  Anjuli S Bamzai, National Science Foundation, Directorate for Geosciences, 2415 Eisenhower Ave, Arlington, VA, United States, Eric Itsweire, National Science Foundation, Arlington, VA, United States and Raymond W Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States
Chairs:  Eric Itsweire, National Science Foundation, Arlington, VA, United States, Anjuli S Bamzai, National Science Foundation, Directorate for Geosciences, 2415 Eisenhower Ave, Arlington, VA, United States and Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Dr. Fernando De Sales, PhD., San Diego State University, Geography, San Diego, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

0402 Agricultural systems [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4215 Climate and interannual variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Ocean Climate Shift Derived from Northwest Atlantic Regional Climatology (126413)
Dan Seidov1, Alexey V Mishonov2, James R Reagan3, Tim Boyer1, Arthur Rost Parsons4 and Scott L Cross5, (1)National Oceanographic Data Center, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, COLLEGE PARK, MD, United States, (4)NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI-MS, Stennis Center, MS, United States, (5)NOAA/NESDIS/NCEI, CCOG, Charleston, SC, United States
The Climate Variability & Predictability (CVP) Program at NOAA - Recent Program Advancements in Understanding AMOC (163396)
Sandy E Lucas, NOAA Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Global Ocean Monitoring and Observing Program, Silver Spring, United States
An Assessment of the SST Simulation Using the Climate Forecast System Coupled to the SSiB Surface Model (139809)
Yang Wang, University of California Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States; Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States, Bohua Huang, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, Jiwoo Lee, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and Dr. Fernando De Sales, PhD., San Diego State University, Geography, San Diego, CA, United States
Impact of interactive A/O feedback on Multi-decadal Variability of East Asian and West African Summer Monsoon in the CFSv2 Simulation (160442)
Jiwoo Lee1, Yongkang Xue2, Dr. Fernando De Sales, PhD.3, Ismaila Diallo4, Larry Marx5, Rongqian Yang6, James L Kinter7 and Dean Norman Williams1, (1)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (2)University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States, (3)San Diego State University, Geography, San Diego, CA, United States, (4)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, United States, (5)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric-Land Studies Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, (6)National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, (7)George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Spatial-Temporal Assessment of Climate Model Drifts (155449)
Davide Zanchettin1, Maeregu Arisido2, Carlo Gaetan2 and Angelo Rubino3, (1)University Ca'Foscari of Venice, Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Mestre, Italy, (2)University of Venice, Venice, Italy, (3)Ca' Foscari University, Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Venice, Italy
On semi-empirical decomposition of multidecadal climate variability into forced and internally generated components (148672)
David Callicutt and Sergey Kravtsov, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, United States
A Flexible Decomposition of Global Climate Predictability and Variability into Regional Components and Teleconnections (185355)
Vineel Kumar Reddy Yettella, University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences and CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, Jeffrey Weiss, University of Colorado at Boulder, Atmospheres and Oceans, Boulder, CO, United States, Jennifer E Kay, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States and Angeline G Pendergrass, Cornell University, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Ithaca, NY, United States
Data-driven Climate Modeling and Prediction (194314)
Mickael Chekroun, University of California Los Angeles, Atmos. and Ocean. Sci., Los Angeles, CA, United States and Dmitri A Kondrashov, University of California Los Angeles, Atmos. Sci, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Estimation of the Forced Responses in the CMIP5 AMIP Simulations and Application to Reanalyses (139931)
Hua Chen, NUIST Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Atmospheric Science, Nanjing, China and Edwin Kahn Schneider, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Decadal climate simulations using the Climate Forecast System (CFS) coupled to the SSiB2 land surface model (169226)
Dr. Fernando De Sales, PhD., San Diego State University, Geography, San Diego, CA, United States, Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States, Larry Marx, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric-Land Studies Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States and Michael B Ek, NSF NCAR, Boulder, United States
Incorporating Decadal Predictions into Water Management Decisions (168238)
Erin Towler1, James Done1 and David N Yates2, (1)University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, United States
Influence of the Madden–Julian oscillation on Tibetan Plateau Snow Cover at the Intraseasonal Time-scale (127660)
Wenkai Li, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, Weidong Guo, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences,Joint International Research Laboratory of Atmospheric and Earth System Sciences, Nanjing, China, Pang-Chi Hsu, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China and Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Projected Changes of the Ecosystem-Climate System in West Africa using a RCM Driven With Multiple GCMs: Robustness and Uncertainties (183306)
Guiling Wang1, Amir Erfanian2 and Kazi F Ahmed1, (1)University of Connecticut, Groton, CT, United States, (2)University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Groton, CT, United States
Effects of vegetation feedback in modeling the present-day climate over China (158846)
Ying Shi, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China, Guiling Wang, University of Connecticut, Groton, CT, United States, Amir Erfanian, University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Groton, CT, United States and Miao Yu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
Impact of accurate description of land surface characteristics on simulation of the East Asian monsoon precipitation (129020)
Ye Liu, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Weidong Guo, Nanjing University, School of Atmospheric Sciences,Joint International Research Laboratory of Atmospheric and Earth System Sciences, Nanjing, China and Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Simulation of boreal Summer Monsoon Rainfall using CFSV2_SSiB model: sensitivity to Land Use Land Cover (LULC) (183107)
Nagaraju Chilukoti, University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, United States; University of California Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Assessing the aerosol direct and first indirect effects using ACM/GCM simulation results (141361)
Huilin Huang, University of California, Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Yu Gu, UCLA, Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, Los Angeles, United States, Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States and Cheng-Hsuan Lu, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States
Simulation of corn yields and parameters uncertainties analysis in Hebei and Sichuang, China (147525)
Aihong Fu, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi, China, Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States, Melannie Diane Hartman, Colorado State University, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Fort Collins, United States, Alisha Chandran, University of California Los Angeles, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Bo Qiu, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China and Ye Liu, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States

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