GC31A:
Advances in Integration of Earth System Dynamics and Social System Models Posters

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Session ID#: 12792

Session Description:
The dynamics of the Earth’s atmosphere, geosphere and biosphere are increasingly affected by human activities. At the same time, the outcome of these dynamics significantly impact human decisions and societies. Process models improve our ability to simulate how our planet is shaped, but have typically considered humans as exogenous to the Earth system. We know, however, that complex bidirectional feedbacks between human and natural processes greatly affect the system and the people inhabiting it. We invite contributions presenting diverse, interdisciplinary examples that push the boundaries of coupled social and biogeophysical modeling. We encourage both numerical and conceptual models, including socio-ecological and socio-hydrologic systems, integrated assessment, agent-based approaches, dynamic networks, and social informatics. These may address successes and challenges arising from scaling local processes to global dynamics, time lags, socio-natural feedbacks, disentangling complexity, multi-scalar problems, and emergent properties produced by coupled social-biogeophysical models.
Primary Convener:  Kimberly G Rogers
Conveners:  Isaac Ullah, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States, Prof. Albert Kettner, University of Colorado at Boulder, CSDMS/INSTAAR, Boulder, CO, United States and Mark Daniel Anthony Rounsevell, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Chairs:  Isaac Ullah, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA, United States and Kimberly G Rogers
OSPA Liaison:  Kimberly G Rogers

Cross-Listed:
  • EP - Earth and Planetary Surface Processes
  • H - Hydrology
  • PA - Public Affairs
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1803 Anthropogenic effects [HYDROLOGY]
1952 Modeling [INFORMATICS]
1974 Social networks [INFORMATICS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Recent Deforestation Causes Rapid Increase in River Sediment Load in the Northern Andes  (118635)
Juan Darío Restrepo Sr1, Prof. Albert Kettner2 and James P Syvitski2, (1)Universidad EAFIT, Earth Sciences, Medellin, Colombia, (2)University of Colorado at Boulder, CSDMS/INSTAAR, Boulder, CO, United States
Navigable rivers facilitated the spread and recurrence of plague in pre-industrial Europe (129890)
Yue Ricci Pak Hong, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Integrating Geomorphic and Social Dynamics in the Analysis of Anthropogenic Landforms: Examining Landscape Evolution of Terrain Modified by Agricultural Terracing (195142)
Jennifer Glaubius, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, United States and Michael Maerker, Pavia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Pavia, Italy
Global Warming Denial: The Human Brain on Extremes (143984)
Natasza Marrouch, University of Connecticut, Department of Psychological Sciences, Groton, CT, United States; Connecticut Institute for Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Storrs, CT, United States, Blair T. Johnson, University of Connecticut, Department of Psychological Sciences, Storrs, CT, United States and Joanna Maja Slawinska, Rutgers University, Center for Environmental Prediction, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
Quantitative modeling of human-environment interactions in the preindustrial world (136501)
Jed O Kaplan, Philipp Sommer, Andrea U. Kay and Leanne N. Phelps, University of Lausanne, Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, Lausanne, Switzerland
Making Earth-human system modeling easier and more interesting (170811)
Mary C Hill
Coupling integrated assessment and earth system models: concepts and an application to land use change (Invited) (175594)
Brian C O'Neill, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Peter Lawrence, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and Xiaolin Ren, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
Design of Soil Salinity Policies with Tinamit, a Flexible and Rapid Tool to Couple Stakeholder-Built System Dynamics Models with Physically-Based Models (177425)
Azhar Inam Baig1, Julien Jean Malard1, Elmira Hassanzadeh2, Jan F Adamowski3, Héctor Tuy4 and Hugo Melgar-Quiñonez1, (1)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Polytechnique Montreal, Civil, Geological, and Mining Engineering, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)McGill University, Department of Bioresource Engineering, Montreal, QC, Canada, (4)Universidad Rafael Landívar, Instituto de Investigación y Proyección sobre Ambiente Natural y Sociedad (IARNA), Guatemala City, Guatemala
Integrating models that depend on variable data (197234)
Andrew T. Banks, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, United States and Mary C Hill
Examining the Resilience of Crop Production, Livestock Carrying Capacity, and Woodland Density in a Rural Zimbabwean Socio-Ecological System Using Agent-Based Models Representing Human Management Decisions (153699)
Melissa Viola Eitzel Solera1, Kleber Neves2, André Veski3, Jon Solera4, Oluwasola E. Omoju5, Abraham Mawere Ndlovu6 and Ken Wilson6, (1)University of California Santa Cruz, Science and Justice Research Center, Santa Cruz, CA, United States, (2)Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, (3)Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, Estonia, (4)Seven Points Consulting, Walnut Creek, CA, United States, (5)Xiamen University, Xiamen, China, (6)The Muonde Trust, Mazvihwa Communal Area, Zimbabwe

See more of: Global Environmental Change