A13E:
Identifying Links between the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation and Climate Extremes III Posters

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Session ID#: 13178

Session Description:
Extreme weather events are often accompanied by substantial socio-economic and/or environmental impacts. Accumulating evidence indicates that anthropogenic climate change has and will continue to alter the frequency and/or magnitude of some extreme phenomena. Much of the on-going extreme event research straddles the meteorological, climatological, statistical, and impacts disciplines, and offers an exciting opportunity for interdisciplinary collaboration. As atmospheric dynamics generally drives surface weather variability, research identifying the links between large-scale atmospheric/oceanic circulation and the occurrence and impacts of extreme events is at the fore of these interdisciplinary efforts. This session aims to bring together researchers investigating the dynamical, ingredients-based, and/or statistical linkages between the large-scale circulation and extreme event occurrence on multiple temporal scales in both the recent past and projected future.  We invite submissions that explore these linkages through various methods, including principal component analysis, pattern clustering, statistical techniques for quantifying extremes, and/or the development of new mechanistic approaches.
Primary Convener:  Julien Cattiaux, Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, UMR 3589 CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France
Conveners:  Deepti Singh, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, Daniel E Horton, Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Science, Evanston, IL, United States and Nathaniel C Johnson, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Chairs:  Nathaniel C Johnson, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Deepti Singh, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Daniel E Horton, Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Science, Evanston, IL, United States
Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4318 Statistical analysis [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Response of Tropical Cyclone Tracks to Sea Surface Temperature in the Western North Pacific (118468)
Masaru Inatsu, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
Assessment of a novel gridded implementation of the Jenkinson-Collison Classification over Europe (119407)
Noelia Otero1, Jana Sillmann2 and Tim M Butler1, (1)Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam, Germany, (2)Universtiy of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Influences and Mechanisms of South Asia High on Extreme Precipitation over the Eastern China (120957)
Liang Ning, Nanjing Normal University, School of Geography, Nanjing, China, Jian Liu, Nanjing Normal University, School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing, China and Bin Wang, University of Hawaii, Department of Atmospheric Sciences and International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, United States
Rainfall extremes associated with tropical cyclones and their future changes (127335)
Akio Kitoh, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan and Hirokazu Endo, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan
Low-frequency climate anomalies, changes in synoptic scale circulation patterns and statistics of extreme events over south-east Poland during the Last Millennium (134688)
Krzysztof Bartoszek1, Corey John Gabriel2 and Joanna Maja Slawinska2, (1)Maria Curie-Sklodowska University, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Lublin, Poland, (2)Rutgers University, Center for Environmental Prediction, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
Marine Air Penetration: The Effect of Synoptic-scale Change on Regional Climate (136274)
Meina Wang, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Paul Aaron Ullrich, University of California Davis, Davis, United States
Heavy Precipitation in Regional Climate Models: Does it Pay to Play Analogue? (136950)
Xiang Gao, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States and C Adam Schlosser, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, United States
An Evaluation of Atmospheric Blocking Statistics in Future CLIVAR Experiments Using CESM (139691)
Marielle Cristine Pinheiro, University of California Davis, Land, Air, and Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States and Paul Aaron Ullrich, University of California Davis, Davis, United States
The Structure and Large-Scale Organization of Extreme Cold Waves over the Conterminous United States (141765)
Zuowei Xie1, Robert X Black2 and Yi Deng2, (1)Georgia Institute of Technology Main Campus, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States, (2)Georgia Institute of Technology Main Campus, Atlanta, GA, United States
A Dynamical and Statistical Characterization of United States Hydrological Extremes and their Associated Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns (143749)
Siyu Zhao, Yi Deng and Robert X Black, Georgia Institute of Technology Main Campus, Atlanta, GA, United States
Inter-annual Variability of Temperature and Extreme Heat Events during the Nairobi Warm Season (144849)
Herbert Omondi Misiani1, Benjamin F Zaitchik2, Anna Scott3, Gilbert Ongisa Ouma4, Richard O Anyah5 and Asha Jordan3, (1)IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre, Climate Change, Nairobi, Kenya, (2)Johns Hopkins University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Baltimore, MD, United States, (3)Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States, (4)University of Nairobi, Department of Earth and Climate Sciences, Nairobi, Kenya, (5)University of Connecticut, Groton, CT, United States
Analysis on the Extreme Heat Wave over China around Yangtze River Region in the Summer 2013 and Prediction Based on Climate Model (147899)
Ting Ding, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China and Jin Li, 91867 Troops of PLA, Yiwu, China
Synoptic-dynamics of California Cold Air Outbreaks (152645)
Richard Grotjahn, University of California Davis, Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, United States and Rui Zhang, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
Detecting Changes in Precipitation Extremes in China and Their Connections With the Sea Surface Temperature of the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean (153600)
Peihua Qin and Zhenghui Xie, LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Spatial and Temporal Variability of Extreme European Winter Windstorms (155929)
Michael Alexander Walz1, Daniel Johannes Befort1, Gregor C Leckebusch1, Nicolas Otto Kirchner-Bossi2 and Uwe Ulbrich3, (1)University of Birmingham, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom, (2)Newcastle University, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle, NE1, United Kingdom, (3)Free University of Berlin, Institute of Meteorology, Berlin, Germany
Interannual variability of the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones striking the California coast (156782)
Fernando J. Mendez, Universidad de Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, Ana Rueda, University of Cantabria, Ciencias y Tecnicas del Agua y del Medio Ambiente, Santander, Spain, Patrick Barnard, USGS California Water Science Center San Diego, Santa Cruz, United States, Nobuhito Mori, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, Sota Nakajo, Kumamoto University, Graduate school of Science and Technology, Kumamoto, Japan and Joao Albuquerque, University of Auckland, School of Environment, Auckland, New Zealand
Future changes of large scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs) linked to California heat waves (160047)
Erool Palipane, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Richard Grotjahn, University of California Davis, Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, United States
Persistent Cold Weather in East Asia Caused by Blocking: A Case Study of 2010/11 (167876)
Wookap Choi and Young-Ah Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
Evaluating past change of extreme rainfall over Taiwan using a standardized index (168879)
Tung Yu-Shiang, NCDR National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction of Taiwan, New Taipei, Taiwan
Attribution of Winter Windstorm Variability in Europe to Anomalous States of the North Atlantic Ocean (172397)
Thomas Moran1, Uwe Ulbrich2 and Henning Rust1, (1)Free University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany, (2)Free University of Berlin, Institute of Meteorology, Berlin, Germany
Cluster classification of mid-latitude summer circulation patterns in the CESM1 Large Ensemble (175636)
Daniel E Horton, Northwestern University, Earth & Planetary Science, Evanston, IL, United States, Justin S Mankin, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, Deepti Singh, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Noah S Diffenbaugh, Stanford University, Earth System Science and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, United States and Daniel L Swain, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States
Disentangling the role of Natural Variability and Climate Change in the aggravation of Droughts in central Chile (177700)
Rene D Garreaud, University of Chile, Department of Geophysics, Center for Climate and Resilience Research, Santiago, Chile, Juan Pablo Boisier, University of Chile, Department of Geophysics, Santiago, Chile and Roberto F Rondanelli, Universidad de Chile, Geophysics Department, Center for Climate Resilience Research, Santiago, Chile
Influence of the two distinct boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation modes on extreme rainfall and heat wave occurrence in the Northern Hemisphere (178501)
June-Yi Lee, Pusan National University, Department of Climate System, Busan, South Korea, Pang-Chi Hsu, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China, Kyung-Ja Ha, Department of Atmospheric 8 Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea and Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan
Subtropical air masses over eastern Canada: Their links to extreme precipitation (189645)
John R Gyakum1, Alice Louise Wood1, Eyad Atallah2 and Shawn Milrad3, (1)McGill University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Meteorology Program, Daytona Beach, United States
A Diagnostic-Predictive Framework for Assessing Drought Risk in the Susquehanna River Basin in Response to Large-Scale Circulation Anomalies (196194)
Elizabeth Carter, Syracuse University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Syracuse, United States and Scott Steinschneider, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
Changes in diurnal cycle of precipitation over Korea associated with large-scale variability (196630)
Emilia Kyung Jin, KIAPS Korea Insititute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems, SEOUL, Korea, Republic of (South)

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