A43D:
Dynamics, Observations, and Predictability in Light of the Recent 2015–2016 El Niño Event VI Posters
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Session ID#: 14823
Session Description:
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which arises from tropical ocean-atmosphere interactions, is the world's dominant climate signal on seasonal-to-interannual timescales. Despite progress in understanding its dynamics, ENSO still manages to surprise us. Examples include the curious case of the much weaker than expected 2014/15 El Niño, and the extreme (by some measures) 2015/16 El Niño. The international community is also actively engaged in redesigning the Tropical Pacific Observing System (TPOS2020), as well as deepening the understanding of ENSO through numerical sensitivity experiments and multi-model inter comparisons (e.g. CMIP5/CMIP6) -- in hopes of improving both seasonal predictions and decadal-to-centennial projections of the phenomenon. This session welcomes contributions on all aspects of ENSO, including dynamics, observations, impacts, predictability, climate model simulations and forecasts, paleo variability, and possible future changes.
Primary Convener: Malte F Stuecker, University of Hawai’i at Mānoa, International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, United States
Conveners: Matthew Newman, University of Colorado/CIRES and NOAA/PSL, Boulder, United States, Andrew Thorne Wittenberg, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States and Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, United States
Chairs: Andrew Thorne Wittenberg, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States and Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, United States
OSPA Liaison: Ken Takahashi, Instituto Geofísico del Perú, Lima, Peru
Abstracts Submitted to this Session:
Wei Chen, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Kyung-Sook Yun, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, Sang-Wook Yeh, Hanyang University, Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South) and Kyung-Ja Ha, Department of Atmospheric 8 Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea
Kyung-Ja Ha, Department of Atmospheric 8 Sciences, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, Jung-Eun Chu, City University of Hong Kong, School of Energy and Environment, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, June-Yi Lee, Pusan National University, Department of Climate System, Busan, South Korea and Kyung-Sook Yun, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea
Chao Sun1, Li Liu1, Lijuan Li2 and Bin Wang1, (1)Center for Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, (2)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
Zhiping Chen1 and Jia Luo1,2, (1)Wuhan University, School of Geodesy and Geomatics, Wuhan, China, (2)Wuhan University, Key Laboratory of Geospace Environment and Geodesy, Ministry of Education, Wuhan, China
Chelsea Jarvis1, Edward Barlow2, Rebecca Darbyshire3, Richard Eckard2 and Ian Goodwin4, (1)University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, (2)University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, (3)NSW Department of Industry, Wagga Wagga Agricultural Research Institute, Wagga Wagga, Australia, (4)Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and Resources Victoria, Agriculture and Rural Division, Tatura, Australia
Nan Chen and Andrew Majda, New York University, New York, NY, United States
Lijuan Hua, CAMS Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China, Yongqiang Yu, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China and De-Zheng Sun, NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, United States and Prashant D Sardeshmukh, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Christopher Selman, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric-Land Studies Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States and Kathleen Pegion, University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology, Norman, United States
Moguo Sun, Science Systems and Applications, Inc. Hampton, Hampton, VA, United States and David R Doelling, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, United States
Seon Tae Kim and Hye-In Jeong, APEC Climate Center, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South)
Shih-Wei Fang, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States and Jin-Yi Yu, University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
Zhenning Li1, Song Yang2 and Xiaoming HU1, (1)Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Zhuhai, China
Alexander M Feigin1, Andrey Gavrilov2, Dmitry Mukhin1, Evgeny Loskutov1 and Alexey Seleznev1, (1)Institute of Applied Physics RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, (2)Institute of Applied Physics of RAS, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia
Tianyi Sun and Yuko Okumura, University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, United States
Xian Wu and Yuko Okumura, University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, United States
Erin Glennie1, Assaf Anyamba2 and Ronald Eastman1, (1)Clark University, Worcester, MA, United States, (2)USRA & NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt,, United States
Sarah Larson and Benjamin P Kirtman, University of Miami, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL, United States
Bohua Huang1, Chul-Su Shin1, Jagadish Shukla1, Lawrence Marx2, Magdalena Balmaseda3, Subhadeep Halder4, Paul Dirmeyer5 and James L Kinter1, (1)George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States, (2)Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Fairfax, VA, United States, (3)European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States, (5)George Mason University Fairfax, Atmospheric, Oceanic & Earth Sciences Department, Fairfax, VA, United States
Keri Kodama, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric-Land Studies Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States and Natalie Burls, George Mason University, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, Fairfax, VA, United States
Chen Chen, Columbia University of New York, Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Mark A Cane, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Andrew Thorne Wittenberg, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States and Dake Chen, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Hangzhou, China
Andrew Thorne Wittenberg1, Gabriel Andres Vecchi2, Thomas L Delworth3, Anthony John Rosati1, Sulagna Ray4 and William Cooke3, (1)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, (2)NOAA / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton University, Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States
Fan Jia, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao, China, Lixin Wu, Ocean University of China, Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System and Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography, Qingdao, China, Bolan Gan, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China and Wenju Cai, Laoshan Laboratory, Qingdao, China
Marc Wiedermann1,2, Alexander Radebach3,4, Jonathan Friedemann Donges5,6, Jurgen Kurths1,2 and Reik V Donner7, (1)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (2)Humboldt University of Berlin, Department of Physics, Berlin, Germany, (3)Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany, (4)Technical University Berlin, Economics of Climate Change, Berlin, Germany, (5)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Earth Resilience Science Unit, Potsdam, Germany, (6)Stockholm University, Stockholm Resilience Center, Stockholm, Sweden, (7)Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany
Juan David Perez Arango, Rutgers University New Brunswick, Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, Benjamin R Lintner, Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States and Bradfield Lyon, University of Maine, Orono, ME, United States
Li Xu, University of California, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, Jin-Yi Yu, University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, Jordan Schnell, CIRES/CU, Boulder, United States and Michael J Prather, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science Department, Irvine, CA, United States
Evan J Kutta1, Jason A Hubbart2, Bohumil Svoma1, Timothy P Eichler3 and Anthony R Lupo1, (1)University of Missouri Columbia, Columbia, MO, United States, (2)West Virginia University, Institute of Water Security and Science; Division of Plant and Soil Sciences; Division of Forestry and Natural Resources, Morgantown, WV, United States, (3)Saint Louis Univ-Earth & Atmos, St. Louis, MO, United States
Terence L Kubar, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Ali Behrangi, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
