GC53F:
Improving the Simulation of Climate Impacts on Agriculture: AgMIP and Related Research II

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Session ID#: 15621

Session Description:
Agricultural models simulate the effects of climate on crop yields, farm income, and trade, making them important tools for examining food security. This session will focus on research at the interface of climate, agriculture, and economics, including results from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). Topics of particular interest include the creation of climate and socioeconomic scenarios for agricultural projections, statistical and process-based methods of evaluating food production, the representation of soils in crop simulations, interactions between agriculture and extreme hydrologic events, seasonal crop monitoring and forecasting, the use of agricultural and economic models to explore climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, and research that enables coordinated global and regional studies of climate impacts on agriculture for IPCC Assessment Reports and US National Climate Assessments.
Primary Convener:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
Conveners:  Alexander C Ruane, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, Bruno Basso, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States and Roberto O Valdivia, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
Chairs:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States, Bruno Basso, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States, Alexander C Ruane, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States and Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, Department of Environmental Studies, New York, NY, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • PA - Public Affairs
Index Terms:

0402 Agricultural systems [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

AgMIP 1.5°C Assessment: Mitigation and Adaptation at Coordinated Global and Regional Scales (Invited) (126262)
Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States
Lessons from the Climate Modeling Community on the Deisgn and Use of Ensembles for Crop Modeling (138942)
Linda Mearns, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
Assessing the agricultural costs of climate change: Combining results from crop and economic models (Invited) (146032)
Richard E Howitt, University of California Davis, Agricultural Economics, Davis, CA, United States
Modeling global yield growth of major crops under multiple socioeconomic pathways (152242)
Toshichika Iizumi1, Wonsik Kim2, Shen Zhihong2 and Motoki Nishimori3, (1)NIAES-NARO, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)NIAES, Tsukuba, Japan, (3)NIAES National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences, Tsukuba, Japan
The Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture: New Damage Functions from a Meta-Analsis and the GGCMI (169208)
Frances Claire Moore, University of California Davis, Department of Environmental Science & Policy, Davis, CA, United States, Uris Lantz C Baldos, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics, West Lafayette, United States, Thomas W Hertel, Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States and Delavane Diaz, Electric Power Research Institute Palo Alto, Palo Alto, CA, United States
Simulated Near-term Climate Change Impacts on Major Crops across Latin America and the Caribbean  (184950)
Sharon Gourdji1, Jeison Mesa-Diez2, Diego Obando-Bonilla2, Carlos Navarro-Racines2, Patricia Moreno2, Myles Fisher2, Steven Prager2 and Julian Ramirez-Villegas2, (1)National Institute of Standards and Technology Gaithersburg, Gaithersburg, MD, United States, (2)Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical, Cali, Colombia
Uncertainties in Integrated Climate Change Impact Assessments by Sub-setting GCMs Based on Annual as well as Crop Growing Period under Rice Based Farming System of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India (166580)
Subash Nataraja Pillai1, Harbir Singh2, A S Panwar1, M S Meena3, S. V. Singh4, Balwinder Singh5, G. P. Paudel6, Guillermo A Baigorria7, Alexander C Ruane8, Sonali Shukla McDermid9, Kenneth J. Boote10, Cheryl Porter11 and Roberto O Valdivia12, (1)ICAR-Indian Institute of Farming Systems Research, Meerut, India, (2)ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India, (3)ICAR-ATARI, Jodhpur, India, (4)ICAR-NDRI, Karnal, India, (5)CIMMYT, New Delhi, India, (6)CIMMYT, Kathmandu, Nepal, (7)University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States, (8)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (9)New York University, Department of Environmental Studies, New York, NY, United States, (10)Universityof Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, United States, (11)University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States, (12)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
New AgMIP Scenarios: Impacts of Volcanic Eruptions, Geoengineering, or Nuclear War on Agriculture (143865)
Alan Robock, Rutgers University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New Brunswick, United States and Lili Xia, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, United States

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