A22D:
Intraseasonal to Interannual Variability of the Asian Monsoon in a Changing Climate II

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Session ID#: 16262

Session Description:
The monsoon has a tremendous socio-economic impact over Asia through water resources, agriculture, food production and hydropower generation. Despite a century of forecasting efforts, accurate predictions of the monsoon variability from subseasonal to seasonal time scales remain elusive.  This challenge is even more pressing as this variability is expected to change with global warming. This session invites papers on all aspects of intraseasonal to interannual variability of the Asian monsoon, and the impact of climate change on such variability.  Papers discussing observed variability and impact of climate change, predictability of the monsoon at intraseasonal to interannual time scales, model intercomparison and projections of future changes in monsoon variability due to global warming are especially welcome. This session hopes to bring attention to outstanding challenges regarding regional changes over the monsoon domain and their prediction.
Primary Convener:  Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Conveners:  Simona Bordoni, University of Trento, Trento, Italy and Venkat Krishnamurthy, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Chairs:  Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates and Simona Bordoni, University of Trento, Trento, Italy
OSPA Liaison:  Ajaya Mohan Ravindran, New York University Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3371 Tropical convection [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3373 Tropical dynamics [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3374 Tropical meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Interaction of Convective Organization and Monsoon Precipitation, Atmosphere, Surface and Sea (INCOMPASS) (Invited) (173836)
Andrew G Turner1, G. S. Bhat2, Jonathan G Evans3, Ranju Madan4, John H Marsham5, Gill Martin6, Ashis K. Mitra7, G Mrudula8, Douglas J Parker9, Sandeep Pattnaik10, E N Rajagopal7, Christopher Taylor11 and Sachchida Nand Tripathi12, (1)National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India, (3)UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (4)Indian Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India, (5)University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, (6)Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (7)National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Noida, India, (8)CSIR-National Aerospace Laboratories, Bangalore, India, (9)University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, (10)IIT Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Science, Bhubaneswar, India, (11)Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (12)Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur, Kanpur, India
Interannual Variability of the Annual Cycle of Monsoon Rainfall and Projections of Future Climate (194389)
Kenneth R Sperber, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States and H Annamalai, University of Hawaii at Manoa, IPRC, Honolulu, HI, United States
The response of East Asian Summer Monsoon to a Global Warming Scenario (177462)
Cristiana Stan, George Mason University Fairfax, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, Fairfax, VA, United States and Yan Jin, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Extended Monsoon Episodes in CFSv2: Precursors in Atmospheric and Oceanic Processes (169934)
Mohana S Thota, Khalifa University, CESAM Lab, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates and H Annamalai, University of Hawaii at Manoa, IPRC, Honolulu, HI, United States
Detecting the influence of anthropogenic forcings on changes in the South Asian Monsoon subseasonal rainfall characteristics (Invited) (176741)
Deepti Singh, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Massimo A Bollasina, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, Mingfang Ting, Columbia Climate School, New York, United States and Noah S Diffenbaugh, Stanford University, Earth System Science and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, United States
Onset and withdrawal of the large-scale South Asian monsoon: A dynamical definition using change point detection (192297)
Jennifer Marie Walker, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States and Simona Bordoni, University of Trento, Trento, Italy
ENSO TELECONNECTIONS TO THE INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON IN OBSERVATIONS AND MODELS. (159807)
Indrani Roy, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4, United Kingdom, Renata G Tedeschi, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom and Matthew Collins, University of Exeter, CEMPS, Exeter, EX4, United Kingdom
Reforecasting the 1972-73 ENSO Event and the Monsoon Drought Over India (161657)
Jagadish Shukla, Bohua Huang and Chul-Su Shin, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States

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